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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.92+6.11vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.12+7.60vs Predicted
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3Harvard University3.05+3.42vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.93+6.36vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.91+1.42vs Predicted
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6Boston University1.39+6.00vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University2.45+1.25vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island2.78+0.97vs Predicted
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9Boston College2.20-0.46vs Predicted
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10Yale University2.42-3.84vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.72+2.69vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31-3.80vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48-5.22vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University1.71-2.62vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College2.03-4.26vs Predicted
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16Dartmouth College2.90-8.91vs Predicted
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17Connecticut College0.88-2.84vs Predicted
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18University of Vermont0.72-3.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.11Yale University2.927.7%1st Place
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9.6Tufts University2.124.4%1st Place
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6.42Harvard University3.058.6%1st Place
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10.36Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.932.9%1st Place
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6.42Brown University2.9110.0%1st Place
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12.0Boston University1.392.4%1st Place
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8.25Roger Williams University2.457.6%1st Place
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8.97University of Rhode Island2.785.2%1st Place
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8.54Boston College2.206.5%1st Place
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6.16Yale University2.4210.3%1st Place
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13.69Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.721.6%1st Place
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8.2Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.316.4%1st Place
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7.78U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.487.3%1st Place
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11.38Northeastern University1.713.1%1st Place
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10.74Bowdoin College2.034.0%1st Place
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7.09Dartmouth College2.909.6%1st Place
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14.16Connecticut College0.881.2%1st Place
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14.13University of Vermont0.721.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Teddy Nicolosi | 7.7% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Trevor Davis | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 1.9% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 8.6% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Maks Groom | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 2.8% |
| Liam O'Keefe | 10.0% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Noah Robitshek | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 11.1% | 10.6% | 8.1% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 7.6% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 0.9% |
| Michael Kirkman | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| Carmen Cowles | 10.3% | 11.0% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Tyler Egeli | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 11.8% | 16.9% | 21.0% |
| Sam Bruce | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Colman Schofield | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Will Priebe | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 5.7% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 3.9% |
| Robert Bragg | 9.6% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Ryan Mckinney | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 11.3% | 17.8% | 26.0% |
| Ryan Potter | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 12.2% | 15.5% | 27.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.