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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.20+7.35vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College2.90+5.05vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31+5.27vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.92+2.84vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.45+3.10vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48+1.90vs Predicted
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7Yale University2.42-0.89vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.93+2.49vs Predicted
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9Boston University1.39+2.87vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island2.78-1.00vs Predicted
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11Harvard University3.05-4.75vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College2.03-1.30vs Predicted
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13Brown University2.91-6.42vs Predicted
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14Tufts University2.12-4.34vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.72-1.29vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College0.88-1.72vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University1.71-5.45vs Predicted
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18University of Vermont0.72-3.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.35Boston College2.206.9%1st Place
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7.05Dartmouth College2.908.1%1st Place
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8.27Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.316.9%1st Place
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6.84Yale University2.928.9%1st Place
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8.1Roger Williams University2.457.1%1st Place
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7.9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.486.3%1st Place
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6.11Yale University2.4211.1%1st Place
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10.49Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.933.2%1st Place
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11.87Boston University1.392.1%1st Place
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9.0University of Rhode Island2.785.1%1st Place
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6.25Harvard University3.0510.1%1st Place
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10.7Bowdoin College2.033.1%1st Place
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6.58Brown University2.919.8%1st Place
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9.66Tufts University2.124.2%1st Place
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13.71Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.721.9%1st Place
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14.28Connecticut College0.881.2%1st Place
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11.55Northeastern University1.712.4%1st Place
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14.29University of Vermont0.721.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Kirkman | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Robert Bragg | 8.1% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Sam Bruce | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 0.9% | 0.5% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 8.9% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Colman Schofield | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Carmen Cowles | 11.1% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Maks Groom | 3.2% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 2.8% |
| Noah Robitshek | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 7.0% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 0.9% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 10.1% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 3.7% |
| Liam O'Keefe | 9.8% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Trevor Davis | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 1.9% |
| Tyler Egeli | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 12.0% | 16.6% | 22.7% |
| Ryan Mckinney | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 10.8% | 17.1% | 27.5% |
| Will Priebe | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 10.9% | 9.4% | 5.2% |
| Ryan Potter | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 11.8% | 17.4% | 26.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.