← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Tufts University2.12+8.44vs Predicted
-
2Yale University2.42+4.28vs Predicted
-
3University of Rhode Island2.78+5.78vs Predicted
-
4Yale University2.92+3.06vs Predicted
-
5Boston College2.20+3.60vs Predicted
-
6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48+1.93vs Predicted
-
7Harvard University3.05-0.70vs Predicted
-
8Bowdoin College2.03+3.09vs Predicted
-
9Northeastern University1.71+2.39vs Predicted
-
10Brown University2.91-3.58vs Predicted
-
11Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31-2.90vs Predicted
-
12Boston University1.39-0.29vs Predicted
-
13Dartmouth College2.90-5.82vs Predicted
-
14Roger Williams University2.45-5.84vs Predicted
-
15University of Vermont0.72-0.82vs Predicted
-
16Connecticut College0.88-1.73vs Predicted
-
17Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.93-6.70vs Predicted
-
18Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.72-4.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
9.44Tufts University2.124.1%1st Place
-
6.28Yale University2.4210.5%1st Place
-
8.78University of Rhode Island2.785.5%1st Place
-
7.06Yale University2.929.8%1st Place
-
8.6Boston College2.205.2%1st Place
-
7.93U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.487.0%1st Place
-
6.3Harvard University3.0510.2%1st Place
-
11.09Bowdoin College2.032.9%1st Place
-
11.39Northeastern University1.712.5%1st Place
-
6.42Brown University2.9110.2%1st Place
-
8.1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.316.1%1st Place
-
11.71Boston University1.392.6%1st Place
-
7.18Dartmouth College2.908.6%1st Place
-
8.16Roger Williams University2.455.1%1st Place
-
14.18University of Vermont0.721.5%1st Place
-
14.27Connecticut College0.881.4%1st Place
-
10.3Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.934.9%1st Place
-
13.83Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.721.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trevor Davis | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 1.5% |
| Carmen Cowles | 10.5% | 9.4% | 10.9% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 9.8% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Michael Kirkman | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 1.0% |
| Colman Schofield | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 10.2% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 4.2% |
| Will Priebe | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 5.3% |
| Liam O'Keefe | 10.2% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Sam Bruce | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| Noah Robitshek | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 11.3% | 9.8% | 6.3% |
| Robert Bragg | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 5.1% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.1% |
| Ryan Potter | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 11.6% | 18.1% | 25.9% |
| Ryan Mckinney | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 17.3% | 28.0% |
| Maks Groom | 4.9% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 2.6% |
| Tyler Egeli | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 12.6% | 17.1% | 21.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.