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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.92+6.02vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.45+6.18vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.20+5.45vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College2.90+2.98vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island2.78+3.94vs Predicted
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6Yale University2.42+0.19vs Predicted
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7Harvard University3.05-0.60vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.72+5.85vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.93+1.43vs Predicted
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10Brown University2.91-3.56vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31-2.65vs Predicted
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12Tufts University2.12-2.55vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48-5.22vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University1.71-2.83vs Predicted
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15Boston University1.39-3.03vs Predicted
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16Bowdoin College2.03-5.06vs Predicted
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17Connecticut College0.88-2.73vs Predicted
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18University of Vermont0.72-3.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.02Yale University2.929.0%1st Place
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8.18Roger Williams University2.456.2%1st Place
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8.45Boston College2.205.4%1st Place
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6.98Dartmouth College2.909.2%1st Place
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8.94University of Rhode Island2.785.9%1st Place
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6.19Yale University2.4210.6%1st Place
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6.4Harvard University3.059.7%1st Place
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13.85Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.721.6%1st Place
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10.43Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.933.5%1st Place
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6.44Brown University2.919.8%1st Place
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8.35Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.315.8%1st Place
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9.45Tufts University2.124.5%1st Place
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7.78U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.487.6%1st Place
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11.17Northeastern University1.713.1%1st Place
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11.97Boston University1.392.3%1st Place
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10.94Bowdoin College2.032.9%1st Place
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14.27Connecticut College0.881.6%1st Place
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14.19University of Vermont0.721.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Teddy Nicolosi | 9.0% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.7% |
| Michael Kirkman | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 0.7% |
| Robert Bragg | 9.2% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 0.8% |
| Carmen Cowles | 10.6% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 9.7% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Tyler Egeli | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 9.4% | 11.6% | 17.5% | 21.3% |
| Maks Groom | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 2.8% |
| Liam O'Keefe | 9.8% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sam Bruce | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Trevor Davis | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 3.8% | 1.2% |
| Colman Schofield | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Will Priebe | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 5.6% |
| Noah Robitshek | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 11.2% | 7.6% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 4.2% |
| Ryan Mckinney | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 11.6% | 16.8% | 27.6% |
| Ryan Potter | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 12.6% | 17.7% | 26.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.