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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island2.78+8.05vs Predicted
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2Boston University1.39+10.05vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48+4.85vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.91+2.39vs Predicted
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5Harvard University3.05+1.28vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College2.90+1.02vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University2.45+1.05vs Predicted
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8Yale University2.42-1.68vs Predicted
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9Boston College2.20-0.54vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31-1.64vs Predicted
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11Yale University2.92-4.02vs Predicted
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12Tufts University2.12-2.58vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University1.71-1.72vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.93-3.50vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College2.03-4.24vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College0.88-1.72vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont0.72-2.90vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.72-4.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.05University of Rhode Island2.785.5%1st Place
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12.05Boston University1.392.2%1st Place
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7.85U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.487.0%1st Place
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6.39Brown University2.9111.3%1st Place
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6.28Harvard University3.0510.5%1st Place
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7.02Dartmouth College2.908.1%1st Place
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8.05Roger Williams University2.456.2%1st Place
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6.32Yale University2.429.6%1st Place
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8.46Boston College2.205.5%1st Place
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8.36Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.316.4%1st Place
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6.98Yale University2.928.6%1st Place
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9.42Tufts University2.124.9%1st Place
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11.28Northeastern University1.713.1%1st Place
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10.5Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.934.3%1st Place
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10.76Bowdoin College2.033.3%1st Place
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14.28Connecticut College0.881.1%1st Place
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14.1University of Vermont0.721.2%1st Place
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13.86Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.721.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kerem Erkmen | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 0.9% |
| Noah Robitshek | 2.2% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 10.7% | 11.3% | 11.2% | 7.5% |
| Colman Schofield | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Liam O'Keefe | 11.3% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 10.5% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Robert Bragg | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 6.2% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Carmen Cowles | 9.6% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Michael Kirkman | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 0.5% |
| Sam Bruce | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Trevor Davis | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 1.3% |
| Will Priebe | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 8.3% | 6.5% |
| Maks Groom | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 2.9% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 3.9% |
| Ryan Mckinney | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 12.6% | 15.8% | 27.7% |
| Ryan Potter | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 11.4% | 17.9% | 24.2% |
| Tyler Egeli | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 11.6% | 17.4% | 22.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.