Race 5B

87th-boston-dinghy-club-challenge-cup

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Connor McHugh 11.6% 11.6% 12.0% 12.0% 13.8% 10.2% 9.8% 9.2% 6.5% 3.1%
James Brock 13.2% 12.9% 13.1% 11.6% 12.9% 11.5% 9.6% 9.0% 4.7% 1.7%
Jonnie Ciffolillo 19.4% 17.0% 15.8% 13.7% 10.1% 10.0% 6.8% 4.0% 2.9% 0.5%
Harrison Strom 16.5% 15.5% 15.2% 14.1% 11.8% 9.3% 8.5% 5.5% 2.9% 0.7%
Courtland Doyle 9.0% 8.5% 9.6% 8.8% 10.1% 11.4% 11.7% 12.1% 12.2% 6.7%
Max Sigel 8.2% 10.6% 8.6% 10.8% 9.9% 10.9% 12.0% 13.1% 10.3% 5.7%
Emma Wang 7.5% 9.0% 8.5% 7.6% 11.8% 10.8% 10.8% 11.7% 14.1% 8.2%
Christian Cushman 8.1% 7.5% 9.2% 10.3% 9.8% 12.0% 12.4% 12.8% 12.2% 5.8%
Benjamin Stevens 4.3% 5.1% 5.2% 7.3% 6.2% 9.1% 11.2% 14.4% 20.2% 17.1%
Langdon Wallace 2.2% 2.4% 3.0% 3.7% 3.6% 4.8% 7.3% 8.3% 14.1% 50.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.