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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17+7.55vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.29+6.03vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.85+3.14vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.38+3.45vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.22+2.58vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.68+0.42vs Predicted
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7Boston College2.56+1.34vs Predicted
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8Harvard University3.18-3.19vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College2.75-2.82vs Predicted
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10Brown University2.22-1.50vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.77-1.97vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.03+3.68vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University1.07-0.71vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont0.87-0.96vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island1.61-4.39vs Predicted
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16Boston University1.07-2.71vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.63-7.02vs Predicted
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18Connecticut College0.27-2.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.55U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.175.2%1st Place
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8.03Yale University2.296.2%1st Place
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6.14Yale University2.8510.7%1st Place
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7.45Bowdoin College2.387.4%1st Place
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7.58Tufts University2.226.2%1st Place
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6.42Roger Williams University2.6810.4%1st Place
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8.34Boston College2.565.5%1st Place
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4.81Harvard University3.1816.2%1st Place
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6.18Dartmouth College2.7510.6%1st Place
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8.5Brown University2.224.9%1st Place
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9.03Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.774.7%1st Place
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15.68Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.030.5%1st Place
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12.29Northeastern University1.071.5%1st Place
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13.04University of Vermont0.871.7%1st Place
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10.61University of Rhode Island1.612.9%1st Place
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13.29Boston University1.071.0%1st Place
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9.98Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.633.5%1st Place
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15.07Connecticut College0.270.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Unangst | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Morgan Pinckney | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Stephan Baker | 10.7% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Hall | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Ben Mueller | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Carlos de Castro | 10.4% | 10.4% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Justin Callahan | 16.2% | 13.3% | 13.2% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 10.6% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Mason Stang | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Andy Leshaw | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 10.4% | 20.5% | 40.5% |
| Joshua Dillon | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 14.1% | 10.9% | 4.7% |
| Christian Cushman | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 12.4% | 14.7% | 14.5% | 9.0% |
| Miles Williams | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 5.2% | 2.1% |
| Porter Bell | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 12.2% | 14.1% | 15.9% | 10.9% |
| Lucy Brock | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 3.8% | 1.2% |
| Charles Bresnahan | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 12.8% | 21.2% | 30.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.