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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.85+5.10vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.29+6.01vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College2.38+4.75vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College2.75+2.07vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island1.61+5.80vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.22+1.57vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University2.68-0.53vs Predicted
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8Harvard University3.18-3.20vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont0.87+3.95vs Predicted
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10Brown University2.22-1.57vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.77-1.69vs Predicted
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12Boston College2.56-3.60vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.63-2.80vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University1.07-1.60vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College0.38-0.45vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17-7.54vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.03-1.44vs Predicted
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18Boston University1.07-4.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.1Yale University2.8510.4%1st Place
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8.01Yale University2.295.3%1st Place
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7.75Bowdoin College2.386.9%1st Place
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6.07Dartmouth College2.7511.4%1st Place
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10.8University of Rhode Island1.612.6%1st Place
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7.57Tufts University2.226.9%1st Place
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6.47Roger Williams University2.689.3%1st Place
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4.8Harvard University3.1815.2%1st Place
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12.95University of Vermont0.872.1%1st Place
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8.43Brown University2.226.0%1st Place
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9.31Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.774.8%1st Place
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8.4Boston College2.565.1%1st Place
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10.2Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.633.0%1st Place
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12.4Northeastern University1.072.2%1st Place
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14.55Connecticut College0.380.7%1st Place
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8.46U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.175.9%1st Place
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15.56Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.030.7%1st Place
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13.18Boston University1.071.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephan Baker | 10.4% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Morgan Pinckney | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Thomas Hall | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 11.4% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Miles Williams | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 10.6% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 2.1% |
| Ben Mueller | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Carlos de Castro | 9.3% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Justin Callahan | 15.2% | 15.2% | 12.6% | 11.6% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christian Cushman | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 10.8% | 14.3% | 14.4% | 9.6% |
| Mason Stang | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 0.7% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Lucy Brock | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 1.7% |
| Joshua Dillon | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 12.3% | 12.2% | 5.5% |
| Liam Gronda | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 14.1% | 21.6% | 22.9% |
| Daniel Unangst | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Andy Leshaw | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 6.3% | 10.1% | 17.1% | 44.1% |
| Porter Bell | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 11.8% | 13.8% | 14.7% | 11.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.