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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Miami2.28+3.53vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida3.15-0.23vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College2.20+0.72vs Predicted
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5Clemson University2.16-0.14vs Predicted
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6University of Florida0.96+2.15vs Predicted
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7North Carolina State University-0.35+4.70vs Predicted
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8University of North Carolina at Wilmington1.23-0.62vs Predicted
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9Eckerd College2.14-4.03vs Predicted
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10Rollins College0.83-1.55vs Predicted
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11Auburn University0.45-1.31vs Predicted
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12Duke University-0.07-0.96vs Predicted
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13Jacksonville University-0.15-1.52vs Predicted
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14Georgia Institute of Technology1.57-7.36vs Predicted
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15University of Georgia-0.19-3.67vs Predicted
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17University of North Carolina-0.62-4.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.53University of Miami2.280.1%1st Place
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2.77University of South Florida3.150.3%1st Place
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4.72Eckerd College2.200.1%1st Place
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4.86Clemson University2.160.1%1st Place
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8.15University of Florida0.960.0%1st Place
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11.7North Carolina State University-0.350.0%1st Place
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7.38University of North Carolina at Wilmington1.230.1%1st Place
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4.97Eckerd College2.140.1%1st Place
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8.45Rollins College0.830.0%1st Place
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9.69Auburn University0.450.0%1st Place
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11.04Duke University-0.070.0%1st Place
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11.48Jacksonville University-0.150.0%1st Place
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6.64Georgia Institute of Technology1.570.1%1st Place
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11.33University of Georgia-0.190.0%1st Place
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12.29University of North Carolina-0.620.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Jassin | 12.7% | 13.3% | 15.9% | 11.4% | 12.4% | 12.0% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Mohney | 30.7% | 24.0% | 16.4% | 12.2% | 8.0% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Erik Brydges | 11.5% | 12.8% | 12.6% | 13.9% | 11.9% | 11.9% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Drew Lisicki | 10.6% | 12.3% | 13.4% | 13.6% | 11.6% | 11.0% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chris Gardiner | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 13.4% | 11.3% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 2.7% | 0.8% |
| Brion Capo | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 10.4% | 15.4% | 18.7% | 19.9% |
| Cole Barney | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 11.9% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 7.9% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 0.2% |
| Seth Barrows | 10.6% | 12.2% | 12.1% | 12.1% | 11.8% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jason Limbach | 2.0% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 11.4% | 11.4% | 8.9% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 1.1% |
| Robert Dye | 2.3% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 14.6% | 11.9% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 4.4% |
| Hans Lie-Nielsen | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 11.2% | 13.7% | 14.2% | 13.7% | 12.8% |
| David Horton | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 14.3% | 15.2% | 16.0% | 15.4% |
| AROLDO DE RIENZO | 6.1% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 12.7% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 8.1% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.4% |
| Mason Hines | 0.8% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 10.1% | 11.4% | 15.3% | 16.3% | 14.5% |
| Elisabeth Whitener | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 10.1% | 12.7% | 18.4% | 30.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.