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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.29+7.07vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.85+3.79vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.56+5.43vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17+4.60vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College2.75+1.10vs Predicted
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6Harvard University3.18-1.21vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.22+0.61vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.77+1.18vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.38-1.17vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University1.07+2.14vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island1.61-0.30vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University2.68-5.42vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.63-2.81vs Predicted
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14Brown University2.22-5.53vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College0.38-0.49vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont0.87-2.88vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.03-1.42vs Predicted
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18Boston University1.07-4.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.07Yale University2.295.8%1st Place
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5.79Yale University2.8512.3%1st Place
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8.43Boston College2.565.1%1st Place
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8.6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.175.3%1st Place
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6.1Dartmouth College2.7510.3%1st Place
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4.79Harvard University3.1815.1%1st Place
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7.61Tufts University2.227.0%1st Place
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9.18Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.774.9%1st Place
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7.83Bowdoin College2.385.9%1st Place
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12.14Northeastern University1.072.1%1st Place
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10.7University of Rhode Island1.613.1%1st Place
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6.58Roger Williams University2.689.6%1st Place
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10.19Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.633.1%1st Place
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8.47Brown University2.226.0%1st Place
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14.51Connecticut College0.380.7%1st Place
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13.12University of Vermont0.871.8%1st Place
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15.58Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.030.8%1st Place
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13.33Boston University1.071.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morgan Pinckney | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Stephan Baker | 12.3% | 11.1% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Daniel Unangst | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 10.3% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Justin Callahan | 15.1% | 14.3% | 13.4% | 11.8% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ben Mueller | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 0.6% |
| Thomas Hall | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Joshua Dillon | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 12.3% | 12.4% | 10.3% | 6.5% |
| Miles Williams | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 4.8% | 2.5% |
| Carlos de Castro | 9.6% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Lucy Brock | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 4.2% | 1.4% |
| Mason Stang | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Liam Gronda | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 6.6% | 9.6% | 12.1% | 22.8% | 22.2% |
| Christian Cushman | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 11.8% | 13.8% | 14.8% | 10.3% |
| Andy Leshaw | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 9.5% | 18.2% | 42.8% |
| Porter Bell | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 14.5% | 16.0% | 12.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.