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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University3.18+3.82vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17+6.53vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.85+2.99vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.22+3.93vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.77+4.20vs Predicted
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6Boston College2.56+2.43vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.63+2.96vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College2.38-0.30vs Predicted
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9Brown University2.22-0.46vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University2.68-3.67vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College2.75-4.76vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University1.07+0.23vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island1.61-2.16vs Predicted
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14Yale University2.29-6.01vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College0.38-0.46vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont0.87-2.83vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.03-1.49vs Predicted
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18Boston University1.07-4.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.82Harvard University3.1816.6%1st Place
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8.53U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.175.2%1st Place
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5.99Yale University2.8511.5%1st Place
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7.93Tufts University2.226.6%1st Place
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9.2Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.773.6%1st Place
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8.43Boston College2.565.3%1st Place
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9.96Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.634.5%1st Place
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7.7Bowdoin College2.386.8%1st Place
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8.54Brown University2.225.5%1st Place
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6.33Roger Williams University2.689.3%1st Place
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6.24Dartmouth College2.759.2%1st Place
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12.23Northeastern University1.072.2%1st Place
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10.84University of Rhode Island1.612.9%1st Place
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7.99Yale University2.295.9%1st Place
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14.54Connecticut College0.381.4%1st Place
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13.17University of Vermont0.871.2%1st Place
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15.51Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.030.8%1st Place
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13.06Boston University1.071.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Callahan | 16.6% | 13.1% | 12.1% | 11.4% | 10.8% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Unangst | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Stephan Baker | 11.5% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Ben Mueller | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 0.5% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Lucy Brock | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 1.2% |
| Thomas Hall | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Mason Stang | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Carlos de Castro | 9.3% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 9.2% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Dillon | 2.2% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 11.5% | 12.0% | 11.1% | 6.2% |
| Miles Williams | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 2.5% |
| Morgan Pinckney | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Liam Gronda | 1.4% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 14.0% | 19.1% | 25.1% |
| Christian Cushman | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 15.2% | 15.1% | 10.5% |
| Andy Leshaw | 0.8% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 9.8% | 18.8% | 42.2% |
| Porter Bell | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 14.3% | 15.8% | 10.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.