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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.75+5.23vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College2.38+5.58vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.56+5.46vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.85+1.97vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.63+4.95vs Predicted
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6Yale University2.29+1.92vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.22+0.78vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.77+1.18vs Predicted
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9Harvard University3.18-4.18vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont0.87+3.08vs Predicted
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11Brown University2.22-2.62vs Predicted
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12Boston University1.07+1.24vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University1.26-0.78vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island1.61-3.49vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.03+0.55vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College0.27-0.82vs Predicted
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17Roger Williams University2.68-10.55vs Predicted
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18U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17-9.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.23Dartmouth College2.7511.2%1st Place
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7.58Bowdoin College2.387.5%1st Place
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8.46Boston College2.564.9%1st Place
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5.97Yale University2.8510.4%1st Place
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9.95Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.633.2%1st Place
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7.92Yale University2.296.8%1st Place
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7.78Tufts University2.226.0%1st Place
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9.18Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.774.9%1st Place
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4.82Harvard University3.1816.4%1st Place
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13.08University of Vermont0.871.6%1st Place
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8.38Brown University2.225.7%1st Place
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13.24Boston University1.071.4%1st Place
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12.22Northeastern University1.261.8%1st Place
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10.51University of Rhode Island1.613.0%1st Place
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15.55Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.030.8%1st Place
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15.18Connecticut College0.270.7%1st Place
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6.45Roger Williams University2.688.8%1st Place
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8.5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.175.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maddie Hawkins | 11.2% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Hall | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Stephan Baker | 10.4% | 10.0% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucy Brock | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 3.6% | 0.8% |
| Morgan Pinckney | 6.8% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Ben Mueller | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Justin Callahan | 16.4% | 13.9% | 12.1% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christian Cushman | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 12.8% | 15.2% | 14.6% | 9.3% |
| Mason Stang | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Porter Bell | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 14.9% | 15.0% | 10.2% |
| Sam Monaghan | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 13.2% | 10.9% | 5.3% |
| Miles Williams | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 1.9% |
| Andy Leshaw | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 9.8% | 19.4% | 40.6% |
| Charles Bresnahan | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 7.9% | 13.2% | 22.9% | 30.4% |
| Carlos de Castro | 8.8% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Unangst | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.