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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.55+5.47vs Predicted
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2Boston College1.97+7.39vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College2.38+4.16vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.48+2.19vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.03+4.92vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.37+1.06vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.06+1.10vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University2.09-0.27vs Predicted
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9Boston University0.97+3.34vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University1.59+1.83vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.45-1.14vs Predicted
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12Yale University2.71-6.17vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.58-2.75vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island1.42-3.81vs Predicted
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15Tufts University1.67-5.54vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.33-1.31vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont1.05-4.78vs Predicted
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18University of Texas1.01-5.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.47Yale University2.5510.5%1st Place
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9.39Boston College1.974.6%1st Place
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7.16Dartmouth College2.389.3%1st Place
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6.19Harvard University2.4811.2%1st Place
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9.92U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.033.9%1st Place
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7.06Brown University2.378.2%1st Place
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8.1Bowdoin College2.066.8%1st Place
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7.73Roger Williams University2.096.9%1st Place
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12.34Boston University0.972.4%1st Place
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11.83Northeastern University1.592.5%1st Place
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9.86Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.453.8%1st Place
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5.83Yale University2.7111.2%1st Place
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10.25Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.584.5%1st Place
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10.19University of Rhode Island1.423.5%1st Place
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9.46Tufts University1.674.5%1st Place
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14.69Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.331.2%1st Place
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12.22University of Vermont1.052.5%1st Place
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12.32University of Texas1.012.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Cowles | 10.5% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Peter Joslin | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 1.6% |
| William Michels | 9.3% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Mitchell Callahan | 11.2% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Emily Bornarth | 3.9% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 3.0% |
| Blake Behrens | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Sam Bonauto | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 1.1% |
| Oliver Stokke | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Elliott Mendenhall | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 11.3% | 12.2% | 12.2% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 8.9% |
| Julius Heitkoetter | 3.8% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 2.5% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 11.2% | 12.2% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Robert Ulmer | 4.5% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 3.4% |
| Tyler Nash | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 3.3% |
| John Eastman | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 1.8% |
| Kevin Brooksbank | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 15.5% | 38.0% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 12.9% | 11.3% |
| Matias Martin | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 13.2% | 12.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.