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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.48+5.18vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.55+4.02vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.58+7.07vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.67+5.48vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.37+2.06vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.09+1.67vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island1.42+3.31vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College2.38-1.01vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont1.05+3.20vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.33+4.75vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University1.59+0.35vs Predicted
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12Boston College1.97-2.88vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.03-2.80vs Predicted
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14Yale University2.71-8.11vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College2.06-6.77vs Predicted
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16Boston University0.97-3.63vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.45-7.31vs Predicted
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18Connecticut College0.43-4.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.18Harvard University2.4810.3%1st Place
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6.02Yale University2.5511.4%1st Place
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10.07Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.583.9%1st Place
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9.48Tufts University1.674.9%1st Place
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7.06Brown University2.377.7%1st Place
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7.67Roger Williams University2.097.5%1st Place
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10.31University of Rhode Island1.423.1%1st Place
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6.99Dartmouth College2.389.3%1st Place
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12.2University of Vermont1.052.1%1st Place
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14.75Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.331.3%1st Place
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11.35Northeastern University1.593.5%1st Place
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9.12Boston College1.974.5%1st Place
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10.2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.034.3%1st Place
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5.89Yale University2.7111.2%1st Place
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8.23Bowdoin College2.066.0%1st Place
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12.37Boston University0.972.7%1st Place
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9.69Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.454.2%1st Place
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13.43Connecticut College0.432.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mitchell Callahan | 10.3% | 11.2% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Emma Cowles | 11.4% | 11.2% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Robert Ulmer | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 4.5% | 3.4% |
| John Eastman | 4.9% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 1.7% |
| Blake Behrens | 7.7% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Oliver Stokke | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Tyler Nash | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 2.9% |
| William Michels | 9.3% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 12.6% | 10.2% |
| Kevin Brooksbank | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 9.3% | 16.0% | 37.0% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 6.9% |
| Peter Joslin | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 1.4% |
| Emily Bornarth | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 2.5% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 11.2% | 11.3% | 11.2% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Sam Bonauto | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Elliott Mendenhall | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 11.7% | 13.0% | 10.5% |
| Julius Heitkoetter | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 2.9% |
| Andrew Powers | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 11.6% | 14.8% | 19.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.