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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University1.55+3.86vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont0.87+3.59vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College0.05+3.81vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.20+1.59vs Predicted
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5Harvard University1.85-0.90vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.81-0.12vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston2.07-3.24vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island1.20-2.42vs Predicted
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9Brown University1.76-4.63vs Predicted
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10U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.15-1.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.86Roger Williams University1.5512.8%1st Place
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5.59University of Vermont0.878.8%1st Place
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6.81Bowdoin College0.054.9%1st Place
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5.59Tufts University1.208.6%1st Place
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4.1Harvard University1.8515.8%1st Place
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5.88Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.817.0%1st Place
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3.76College of Charleston2.0718.6%1st Place
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5.58University of Rhode Island1.208.0%1st Place
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4.37Brown University1.7613.8%1st Place
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8.46U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.151.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Connor McHugh | 12.8% | 11.6% | 10.7% | 11.3% | 11.8% | 10.9% | 12.0% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 2.9% |
Christian Cushman | 8.8% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 11.2% | 12.2% | 12.2% | 5.7% |
Benjamin Stevens | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 14.0% | 20.3% | 17.0% |
Courtland Doyle | 8.6% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 12.0% | 11.3% | 12.9% | 10.7% | 6.6% |
Harrison Strom | 15.8% | 16.1% | 14.3% | 13.5% | 12.2% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 1.2% |
Emma Wang | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 12.2% | 13.6% | 14.0% | 6.5% |
Jonnie Ciffolillo | 18.6% | 16.6% | 16.0% | 14.2% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 7.6% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 0.2% |
Max Sigel | 8.0% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 11.3% | 10.9% | 12.8% | 13.2% | 10.8% | 5.1% |
James Brock | 13.8% | 14.2% | 14.1% | 12.7% | 12.4% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 7.0% | 4.0% | 1.7% |
Langdon Wallace | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 9.2% | 14.4% | 53.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.