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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island1.42+9.20vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College2.38+4.92vs Predicted
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3Boston College1.97+6.27vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.58+6.26vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.45+4.60vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.48+0.32vs Predicted
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7Yale University2.55-0.63vs Predicted
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8Brown University2.37-1.02vs Predicted
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9Yale University2.71-3.13vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University1.59+1.41vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College2.06-2.96vs Predicted
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12Tufts University1.67-2.75vs Predicted
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13Boston University0.97-0.67vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University2.09-6.31vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.03-4.90vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.33-1.43vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont1.05-4.80vs Predicted
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18Connecticut College0.43-4.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.2University of Rhode Island1.423.6%1st Place
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6.92Dartmouth College2.388.9%1st Place
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9.27Boston College1.975.2%1st Place
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10.26Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.583.6%1st Place
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9.6Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.454.9%1st Place
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6.32Harvard University2.4810.4%1st Place
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6.37Yale University2.5510.1%1st Place
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6.98Brown University2.378.4%1st Place
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5.87Yale University2.7112.0%1st Place
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11.41Northeastern University1.593.3%1st Place
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8.04Bowdoin College2.066.6%1st Place
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9.25Tufts University1.674.5%1st Place
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12.33Boston University0.972.1%1st Place
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7.69Roger Williams University2.098.6%1st Place
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10.1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.033.0%1st Place
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14.57Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.331.0%1st Place
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12.2University of Vermont1.051.8%1st Place
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13.63Connecticut College0.431.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Nash | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 2.3% |
| William Michels | 8.9% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Peter Joslin | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 1.2% |
| Robert Ulmer | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 3.4% |
| Julius Heitkoetter | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 1.9% |
| Mitchell Callahan | 10.4% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Emma Cowles | 10.1% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Blake Behrens | 8.4% | 10.0% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 12.0% | 11.1% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 3.3% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 6.9% |
| Sam Bonauto | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.8% |
| John Eastman | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 1.8% |
| Elliott Mendenhall | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 13.2% | 11.1% |
| Oliver Stokke | 8.6% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Emily Bornarth | 3.0% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 3.1% |
| Kevin Brooksbank | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 10.0% | 15.7% | 34.0% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 11.7% | 10.7% |
| Andrew Powers | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 16.0% | 22.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.