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📊 Prediction Accuracy
5.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.48+5.14vs Predicted
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2Boston College1.97+7.04vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.55+3.29vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.58+6.02vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.03+5.09vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.45+3.51vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.67+2.44vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont1.05+4.41vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University1.59+2.48vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College2.38-2.77vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College2.06-2.81vs Predicted
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12Boston University0.97+0.40vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University2.09-5.32vs Predicted
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14Brown University2.37-7.05vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island1.42-4.92vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College0.43-2.39vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.33-2.33vs Predicted
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18Yale University2.71-12.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.14Harvard University2.4810.3%1st Place
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9.04Boston College1.975.9%1st Place
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6.29Yale University2.5511.0%1st Place
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10.02Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.584.3%1st Place
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10.09U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.033.7%1st Place
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9.51Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.455.1%1st Place
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9.44Tufts University1.674.0%1st Place
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12.41University of Vermont1.052.6%1st Place
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11.48Northeastern University1.592.2%1st Place
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7.23Dartmouth College2.387.8%1st Place
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8.19Bowdoin College2.066.5%1st Place
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12.4Boston University0.972.1%1st Place
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7.68Roger Williams University2.097.0%1st Place
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6.95Brown University2.379.4%1st Place
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10.08University of Rhode Island1.424.2%1st Place
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13.61Connecticut College0.431.4%1st Place
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14.67Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.330.8%1st Place
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5.77Yale University2.7111.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mitchell Callahan | 10.3% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Peter Joslin | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 1.4% |
| Emma Cowles | 11.0% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Robert Ulmer | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 2.7% |
| Emily Bornarth | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 2.5% |
| Julius Heitkoetter | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 2.2% |
| John Eastman | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 1.7% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 2.6% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 12.4% | 12.0% | 12.0% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 6.2% |
| William Michels | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Sam Bonauto | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Elliott Mendenhall | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 10.9% | 12.3% | 11.8% |
| Oliver Stokke | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Blake Behrens | 9.4% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Tyler Nash | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 2.6% |
| Andrew Powers | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 11.4% | 15.6% | 21.2% |
| Kevin Brooksbank | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 16.6% | 34.7% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 11.6% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.