← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Boston University1.14+6.59vs Predicted
-
2Dartmouth College1.60+4.56vs Predicted
-
3Brown University1.55+3.81vs Predicted
-
4Brown University2.04+0.64vs Predicted
-
5U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.85+4.04vs Predicted
-
6University of Rhode Island0.99+1.88vs Predicted
-
7Connecticut College0.52+3.82vs Predicted
-
8University of Vermont-0.13+3.42vs Predicted
-
9Northeastern University1.22-2.58vs Predicted
-
10Tufts University0.93-1.93vs Predicted
-
11Harvard University1.90-5.38vs Predicted
-
12Tufts University0.66-2.81vs Predicted
-
13Roger Williams University0.49-2.99vs Predicted
-
14Bowdoin College1.51-7.48vs Predicted
-
15Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.75-5.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.59Boston University1.146.3%1st Place
-
6.56Dartmouth College1.609.4%1st Place
-
6.81Brown University1.557.9%1st Place
-
4.64Brown University2.0416.3%1st Place
-
9.04U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.854.6%1st Place
-
7.88University of Rhode Island0.996.0%1st Place
-
10.82Connecticut College0.522.1%1st Place
-
11.42University of Vermont-0.131.5%1st Place
-
6.42Northeastern University1.227.6%1st Place
-
8.07Tufts University0.935.6%1st Place
-
5.62Harvard University1.9011.3%1st Place
-
9.19Tufts University0.664.0%1st Place
-
10.01Roger Williams University0.493.1%1st Place
-
6.52Bowdoin College1.5110.1%1st Place
-
9.4Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.754.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tiare Sierra | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 2.5% |
| Taylor Eastman | 9.4% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.2% |
| Emily Mueller | 7.9% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 1.5% |
| Brielle Willoughby | 16.3% | 14.9% | 12.4% | 11.4% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Julia Conneely | 4.6% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 7.9% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 3.1% |
| Izzy Wu-Karr | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 10.8% | 14.1% | 20.6% |
| Elizabeth Amelotte | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 10.5% | 14.5% | 28.9% |
| Eva Ermlich | 7.6% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 0.8% |
| Haley Andreasen | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 3.3% |
| Sarah Burn | 11.3% | 12.4% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Meredith Broadus | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 7.8% |
| Katherine McGagh | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 10.9% | 12.7% | 13.0% |
| Kyra Phelan | 10.1% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
| Brooke Barry | 4.1% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 8.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.