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📊 Prediction Accuracy
6.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University1.55+5.66vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College1.60+4.57vs Predicted
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3Tufts University0.93+5.26vs Predicted
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4Boston University1.14+3.62vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College1.51+1.77vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.75+3.46vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College0.52+3.61vs Predicted
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8Brown University2.04-3.44vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University1.22-2.58vs Predicted
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10Harvard University1.90-4.58vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island0.99-3.19vs Predicted
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12Tufts University0.66-2.77vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.85-3.91vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont-0.13-2.62vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University0.49-4.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.66Brown University1.558.2%1st Place
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6.57Dartmouth College1.608.6%1st Place
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8.26Tufts University0.935.3%1st Place
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7.62Boston University1.146.6%1st Place
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6.77Bowdoin College1.517.3%1st Place
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9.46Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.753.9%1st Place
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10.61Connecticut College0.522.8%1st Place
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4.56Brown University2.0417.0%1st Place
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6.42Northeastern University1.229.3%1st Place
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5.42Harvard University1.9011.5%1st Place
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7.81University of Rhode Island0.996.2%1st Place
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9.23Tufts University0.664.0%1st Place
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9.09U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.853.9%1st Place
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11.38University of Vermont-0.132.2%1st Place
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10.13Roger Williams University0.493.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Mueller | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 1.2% |
| Taylor Eastman | 8.6% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 0.7% |
| Haley Andreasen | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 4.5% |
| Tiare Sierra | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 2.9% |
| Kyra Phelan | 7.3% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.2% |
| Brooke Barry | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 11.4% | 8.8% |
| Izzy Wu-Karr | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 15.2% | 18.3% |
| Brielle Willoughby | 17.0% | 14.1% | 13.5% | 11.7% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Eva Ermlich | 9.3% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| Sarah Burn | 11.5% | 13.0% | 11.0% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 3.4% |
| Meredith Broadus | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 7.8% |
| Julia Conneely | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 7.2% |
| Elizabeth Amelotte | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 11.1% | 14.8% | 28.2% |
| Katherine McGagh | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 12.8% | 14.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.