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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.04+3.74vs Predicted
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2Harvard University1.90+3.53vs Predicted
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3Boston University1.14+4.59vs Predicted
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4Tufts University0.93+4.29vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University1.22+1.54vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College1.60+0.47vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College1.51-0.37vs Predicted
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8Brown University1.55-1.46vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont-0.13+2.51vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.85-1.10vs Predicted
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11Tufts University0.66-1.96vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.75-2.46vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College0.52-2.33vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island0.99-6.18vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University0.49-4.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.74Brown University2.0415.8%1st Place
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5.53Harvard University1.9012.2%1st Place
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7.59Boston University1.145.9%1st Place
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8.29Tufts University0.935.6%1st Place
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6.54Northeastern University1.228.2%1st Place
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6.47Dartmouth College1.608.5%1st Place
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6.63Bowdoin College1.519.2%1st Place
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6.54Brown University1.558.1%1st Place
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11.51University of Vermont-0.132.1%1st Place
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8.9U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.854.1%1st Place
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9.04Tufts University0.664.5%1st Place
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9.54Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.754.1%1st Place
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10.67Connecticut College0.522.4%1st Place
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7.82University of Rhode Island0.995.8%1st Place
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10.18Roger Williams University0.493.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brielle Willoughby | 15.8% | 12.8% | 14.3% | 11.8% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Sarah Burn | 12.2% | 12.0% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Tiare Sierra | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 2.9% |
| Haley Andreasen | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 4.5% |
| Eva Ermlich | 8.2% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 0.7% |
| Taylor Eastman | 8.5% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
| Kyra Phelan | 9.2% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.1% |
| Emily Mueller | 8.1% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
| Elizabeth Amelotte | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 10.1% | 16.0% | 29.2% |
| Julia Conneely | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 7.1% |
| Meredith Broadus | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 7.0% |
| Brooke Barry | 4.1% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 11.5% | 9.6% |
| Izzy Wu-Karr | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 16.4% | 18.6% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 2.3% |
| Katherine McGagh | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 11.8% | 11.8% | 15.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.