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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College1.60+5.54vs Predicted
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2Brown University1.55+4.56vs Predicted
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3Boston University1.14+4.57vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University1.22+2.41vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.04-0.26vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.75+3.44vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.85+2.06vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College1.51-1.23vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont-0.13+2.45vs Predicted
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10Tufts University0.66-0.86vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island0.99-3.06vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College0.52-1.22vs Predicted
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13Tufts University0.93-4.95vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University0.49-4.00vs Predicted
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15Harvard University1.90-9.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.54Dartmouth College1.609.4%1st Place
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6.56Brown University1.558.8%1st Place
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7.57Boston University1.146.9%1st Place
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6.41Northeastern University1.229.0%1st Place
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4.74Brown University2.0415.0%1st Place
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9.44Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.753.5%1st Place
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9.06U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.854.0%1st Place
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6.77Bowdoin College1.519.0%1st Place
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11.45University of Vermont-0.131.2%1st Place
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9.14Tufts University0.663.8%1st Place
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7.94University of Rhode Island0.996.1%1st Place
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10.78Connecticut College0.522.6%1st Place
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8.05Tufts University0.935.5%1st Place
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10.0Roger Williams University0.493.5%1st Place
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5.54Harvard University1.9011.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taylor Eastman | 9.4% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
| Emily Mueller | 8.8% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.1% |
| Tiare Sierra | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 2.6% |
| Eva Ermlich | 9.0% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 0.8% |
| Brielle Willoughby | 15.0% | 14.3% | 13.8% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Brooke Barry | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 11.3% | 8.9% |
| Julia Conneely | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 7.1% |
| Kyra Phelan | 9.0% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 1.1% |
| Elizabeth Amelotte | 1.2% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 16.2% | 27.6% |
| Meredith Broadus | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 7.8% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 3.1% |
| Izzy Wu-Karr | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 11.3% | 13.8% | 20.2% |
| Haley Andreasen | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 3.5% |
| Katherine McGagh | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 12.0% | 15.0% |
| Sarah Burn | 11.6% | 10.4% | 11.8% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.