Race 1A

toni-deutsch-58-regatta

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

21.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Morgan Russom 6.1% 8.0% 6.7% 7.9% 7.7% 9.1% 7.1% 7.3% 6.4% 8.2% 7.4% 6.2% 7.3% 4.6%
Chloe Lepert 7.0% 7.9% 7.0% 7.0% 6.2% 8.1% 8.6% 7.0% 9.2% 8.7% 7.3% 6.7% 4.9% 4.4%
Olivia Crane 10.1% 10.8% 9.4% 9.5% 7.8% 9.0% 8.4% 7.7% 6.9% 6.8% 6.1% 3.5% 2.6% 1.4%
Mariel Marchand 6.7% 8.0% 8.5% 7.5% 7.9% 7.3% 8.5% 8.5% 7.3% 7.6% 6.7% 7.8% 5.0% 2.7%
Sarah Fiske 3.2% 4.1% 5.6% 4.8% 5.4% 5.9% 6.3% 6.8% 7.8% 6.7% 8.8% 11.4% 11.0% 12.2%
Mackenzie Needham 3.9% 3.6% 3.6% 2.7% 5.3% 3.9% 5.6% 7.9% 6.3% 7.9% 8.4% 10.7% 13.0% 17.2%
Sky Adams 7.2% 7.9% 6.9% 7.4% 8.4% 8.2% 7.4% 7.1% 7.5% 7.8% 7.4% 6.7% 5.6% 4.5%
Lauren Cefali 5.4% 4.3% 5.6% 6.1% 6.7% 5.9% 5.2% 7.4% 6.6% 7.9% 9.4% 9.2% 9.8% 10.5%
Deirdre Lambert 17.6% 15.5% 14.1% 12.3% 9.2% 8.8% 6.8% 5.5% 4.0% 2.6% 1.9% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%
Haley Powell 7.1% 6.0% 6.6% 9.3% 7.8% 8.1% 7.4% 7.3% 8.4% 8.5% 6.9% 7.0% 6.1% 3.5%
Liz Dubovik 6.9% 4.9% 6.3% 5.2% 7.9% 7.6% 7.8% 6.7% 8.4% 8.5% 8.3% 7.5% 8.2% 5.8%
Tasha Greenwood 2.0% 2.4% 2.3% 3.0% 3.5% 3.0% 4.2% 4.5% 6.5% 6.0% 8.7% 10.0% 16.2% 27.7%
Emily Billing 11.2% 10.5% 9.8% 9.9% 9.8% 8.4% 8.2% 8.4% 6.5% 5.2% 4.4% 3.7% 3.0% 1.0%
Elizabeth Glivinski 5.6% 6.1% 7.6% 7.4% 6.4% 6.7% 8.5% 7.9% 8.2% 7.6% 8.3% 8.4% 6.9% 4.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.