← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Brown University2.04+3.68vs Predicted
-
2Dartmouth College1.60+4.55vs Predicted
-
3University of Rhode Island0.99+4.70vs Predicted
-
4Harvard University1.90+1.63vs Predicted
-
5Boston University1.14+2.64vs Predicted
-
6Bowdoin College1.51+0.66vs Predicted
-
7Brown University1.55-0.32vs Predicted
-
8Roger Williams University0.49+2.16vs Predicted
-
9Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.75+0.35vs Predicted
-
10U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.85-1.02vs Predicted
-
11Tufts University0.66-2.08vs Predicted
-
12University of Vermont-0.13-0.33vs Predicted
-
13Northeastern University1.22-6.71vs Predicted
-
14Tufts University0.93-5.71vs Predicted
-
15Connecticut College0.52-4.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.68Brown University2.0414.8%1st Place
-
6.55Dartmouth College1.608.8%1st Place
-
7.7University of Rhode Island0.996.8%1st Place
-
5.63Harvard University1.9011.7%1st Place
-
7.64Boston University1.146.9%1st Place
-
6.66Bowdoin College1.517.6%1st Place
-
6.68Brown University1.558.9%1st Place
-
10.16Roger Williams University0.493.3%1st Place
-
9.35Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.754.5%1st Place
-
8.98U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.853.9%1st Place
-
8.92Tufts University0.664.5%1st Place
-
11.67University of Vermont-0.131.2%1st Place
-
6.29Northeastern University1.229.6%1st Place
-
8.29Tufts University0.935.0%1st Place
-
10.81Connecticut College0.522.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brielle Willoughby | 14.8% | 14.8% | 13.5% | 12.3% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Taylor Eastman | 8.8% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 2.6% |
| Sarah Burn | 11.7% | 11.6% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Tiare Sierra | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 4.0% | 2.2% |
| Kyra Phelan | 7.6% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.0% |
| Emily Mueller | 8.9% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 1.8% | 0.9% |
| Katherine McGagh | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 12.9% | 13.6% | 12.8% |
| Brooke Barry | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 9.4% |
| Julia Conneely | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 6.0% |
| Meredith Broadus | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 6.3% |
| Elizabeth Amelotte | 1.2% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 16.4% | 31.9% |
| Eva Ermlich | 9.6% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.9% |
| Haley Andreasen | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 3.8% |
| Izzy Wu-Karr | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 15.0% | 20.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.