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📊 Prediction Accuracy
13.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.7
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University0.93+7.24vs Predicted
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2Brown University1.55+4.63vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University0.49+7.28vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College1.60+2.44vs Predicted
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5Tufts University0.66+4.01vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont-0.13+5.31vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College0.52+3.81vs Predicted
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8Boston University1.14-0.36vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.85+0.19vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University1.22-3.43vs Predicted
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11Brown University2.04-6.37vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.75-2.50vs Predicted
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13Harvard University1.90-7.55vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College1.51-7.38vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island0.99-7.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.24Tufts University0.936.3%1st Place
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6.63Brown University1.558.8%1st Place
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10.28Roger Williams University0.492.6%1st Place
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6.44Dartmouth College1.608.6%1st Place
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9.01Tufts University0.664.5%1st Place
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11.31University of Vermont-0.131.6%1st Place
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10.81Connecticut College0.522.4%1st Place
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7.64Boston University1.146.9%1st Place
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9.19U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.853.7%1st Place
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6.57Northeastern University1.228.0%1st Place
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4.63Brown University2.0415.7%1st Place
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9.5Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.753.6%1st Place
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5.45Harvard University1.9011.5%1st Place
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6.62Bowdoin College1.519.0%1st Place
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7.69University of Rhode Island0.996.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Haley Andreasen | 6.3% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 4.4% |
| Emily Mueller | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.0% |
| Katherine McGagh | 2.6% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 11.3% | 14.2% | 13.6% |
| Taylor Eastman | 8.6% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 0.9% |
| Meredith Broadus | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 6.2% |
| Elizabeth Amelotte | 1.6% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 10.2% | 13.6% | 28.8% |
| Izzy Wu-Karr | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 15.2% | 20.5% |
| Tiare Sierra | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 2.2% |
| Julia Conneely | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 8.1% |
| Eva Ermlich | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 0.8% |
| Brielle Willoughby | 15.7% | 14.7% | 13.1% | 12.8% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Brooke Barry | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 10.4% | 12.3% | 9.2% |
| Sarah Burn | 11.5% | 11.7% | 11.8% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Kyra Phelan | 9.0% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 3.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.