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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.29+4.81vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College2.75+5.40vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont3.24+3.04vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.98+2.94vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.82+2.62vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82+1.54vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University2.92-0.18vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.81-0.58vs Predicted
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9Boston University2.74-1.23vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College2.41-1.08vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University1.83-0.38vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.50-3.46vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College3.83-8.70vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island2.23-4.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.81Yale University3.290.1%1st Place
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7.4Connecticut College2.750.1%1st Place
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6.04University of Vermont3.240.1%1st Place
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6.94Tufts University2.980.1%1st Place
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7.62Brown University2.820.1%1st Place
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7.54Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.1%1st Place
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6.82Roger Williams University2.920.1%1st Place
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7.42Harvard University2.810.1%1st Place
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7.77Boston University2.740.1%1st Place
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8.92Bowdoin College2.410.0%1st Place
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10.62Northeastern University1.830.0%1st Place
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8.54U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.500.0%1st Place
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4.3Dartmouth College3.830.2%1st Place
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9.27University of Rhode Island2.230.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Billing | 9.9% | 11.9% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 1.2% |
| Liz Dubovik | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 4.9% |
| Olivia Crane | 10.6% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 1.8% |
| Mariel Marchand | 6.2% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 3.3% |
| Sky Adams | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 4.9% |
| Chloe Lepert | 6.9% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 4.9% |
| Haley Powell | 7.9% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 3.4% |
| Morgan Russom | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 5.6% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 4.5% |
| Sarah Fiske | 4.3% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 12.7% | 11.0% |
| Tasha Greenwood | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 10.7% | 13.9% | 30.7% |
| Lauren Cefali | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 10.9% | 9.3% |
| Deirdre Lambert | 18.9% | 16.6% | 11.8% | 12.3% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Mackenzie Needham | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 10.7% | 12.2% | 12.0% | 14.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.