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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College1.60+5.49vs Predicted
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2Tufts University0.93+6.28vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island0.99+4.88vs Predicted
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4Harvard University1.90+1.49vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.04-0.36vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.75+3.44vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College1.51-0.26vs Predicted
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8Boston University1.14-0.30vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.85+0.05vs Predicted
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10Tufts University0.66-0.91vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont-0.13+0.46vs Predicted
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12Brown University1.55-5.28vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University1.22-6.42vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University0.49-4.18vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College0.52-4.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.49Dartmouth College1.608.6%1st Place
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8.28Tufts University0.935.5%1st Place
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7.88University of Rhode Island0.996.5%1st Place
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5.49Harvard University1.9011.1%1st Place
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4.64Brown University2.0416.4%1st Place
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9.44Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.753.7%1st Place
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6.74Bowdoin College1.518.5%1st Place
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7.7Boston University1.146.9%1st Place
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9.05U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.853.3%1st Place
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9.09Tufts University0.664.2%1st Place
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11.46University of Vermont-0.132.4%1st Place
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6.72Brown University1.558.6%1st Place
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6.58Northeastern University1.228.2%1st Place
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9.82Roger Williams University0.494.0%1st Place
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10.63Connecticut College0.522.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taylor Eastman | 8.6% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.0% |
| Haley Andreasen | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 3.9% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 3.2% |
| Sarah Burn | 11.1% | 12.4% | 11.8% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Brielle Willoughby | 16.4% | 14.0% | 12.8% | 11.8% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Brooke Barry | 3.7% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 8.8% |
| Kyra Phelan | 8.5% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 1.2% |
| Tiare Sierra | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 2.6% |
| Julia Conneely | 3.3% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 6.8% |
| Meredith Broadus | 4.2% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 8.0% |
| Elizabeth Amelotte | 2.4% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 9.8% | 15.7% | 30.4% |
| Emily Mueller | 8.6% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 0.9% |
| Eva Ermlich | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
| Katherine McGagh | 4.0% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 11.2% | 13.1% |
| Izzy Wu-Karr | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 14.1% | 19.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.