Race 3A

toni-deutsch-58-regatta

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

28.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Emily Billing 10.8% 10.5% 12.3% 9.3% 9.9% 8.2% 7.9% 7.1% 6.7% 4.1% 4.4% 3.8% 3.7% 1.3%
Morgan Russom 6.7% 8.4% 6.4% 7.8% 6.7% 7.7% 7.6% 8.6% 8.1% 8.6% 7.6% 5.9% 6.5% 3.4%
Mariel Marchand 7.5% 8.5% 7.3% 8.6% 6.0% 10.2% 7.9% 8.0% 7.2% 7.8% 7.0% 6.8% 3.6% 3.6%
Sarah Fiske 2.9% 4.3% 5.4% 5.3% 6.2% 6.7% 6.0% 7.9% 5.5% 7.6% 8.8% 10.3% 12.6% 10.5%
Haley Powell 6.1% 6.8% 7.1% 8.2% 9.4% 6.4% 8.1% 8.2% 7.6% 7.4% 8.3% 7.0% 5.1% 4.3%
Chloe Lepert 6.8% 4.9% 7.4% 6.2% 7.5% 7.5% 8.4% 7.9% 7.7% 8.1% 7.9% 6.8% 8.1% 4.8%
Deirdre Lambert 19.9% 17.3% 12.3% 12.9% 9.4% 8.1% 7.1% 4.5% 3.0% 2.3% 1.5% 1.2% 0.5% 0.0%
Sky Adams 6.7% 7.9% 7.0% 7.4% 7.5% 6.4% 7.6% 8.3% 8.2% 7.3% 6.9% 7.2% 6.4% 5.2%
Mackenzie Needham 4.7% 2.6% 3.1% 3.7% 5.5% 3.9% 4.8% 5.3% 8.3% 8.0% 9.3% 12.3% 12.3% 16.2%
Olivia Crane 8.5% 9.4% 9.7% 10.5% 9.2% 8.8% 8.8% 7.9% 7.4% 6.5% 5.2% 3.6% 3.4% 1.1%
Lauren Cefali 4.8% 4.7% 4.4% 4.6% 6.5% 7.4% 5.3% 7.2% 7.8% 9.0% 7.6% 10.1% 10.1% 10.5%
Tasha Greenwood 2.5% 1.9% 3.1% 2.4% 2.6% 5.0% 3.5% 4.6% 5.7% 6.6% 8.2% 10.7% 15.1% 28.1%
Liz Dubovik 6.1% 6.4% 7.0% 6.0% 6.3% 6.7% 10.6% 7.5% 7.6% 7.7% 8.2% 7.0% 6.5% 6.4%
Elizabeth Glivinski 6.0% 6.4% 7.5% 7.1% 7.3% 7.0% 6.4% 7.0% 9.2% 9.0% 9.1% 7.3% 6.1% 4.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.