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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.20+4.71vs Predicted
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2Brown University1.76+2.45vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University1.55+1.98vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston2.07-0.29vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College0.05+1.83vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont0.87-0.43vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.81-1.24vs Predicted
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8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.15+0.34vs Predicted
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9Harvard University1.85-4.99vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island1.20-4.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.71Tufts University1.207.3%1st Place
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4.45Brown University1.7614.3%1st Place
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4.98Roger Williams University1.5511.2%1st Place
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3.71College of Charleston2.0719.4%1st Place
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6.83Bowdoin College0.054.3%1st Place
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5.57University of Vermont0.878.6%1st Place
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5.76Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.818.5%1st Place
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8.34U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.152.1%1st Place
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4.01Harvard University1.8516.5%1st Place
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5.65University of Rhode Island1.207.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Courtland Doyle | 7.3% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 13.1% | 11.8% | 12.5% | 6.2% |
James Brock | 14.3% | 13.5% | 13.5% | 12.6% | 11.8% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 1.9% |
Connor McHugh | 11.2% | 11.4% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 11.8% | 11.1% | 11.7% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 3.1% |
Jonnie Ciffolillo | 19.4% | 17.2% | 16.3% | 13.2% | 11.2% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
Benjamin Stevens | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 15.6% | 18.1% | 17.8% |
Christian Cushman | 8.6% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 11.8% | 11.0% | 10.7% | 13.0% | 11.8% | 5.5% |
Emma Wang | 8.5% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 12.5% | 12.7% | 12.3% | 13.1% | 6.8% |
Langdon Wallace | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 15.0% | 51.1% |
Harrison Strom | 16.5% | 16.4% | 14.8% | 13.4% | 11.8% | 10.2% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 0.5% |
Max Sigel | 7.8% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 11.6% | 11.1% | 12.4% | 13.2% | 10.2% | 6.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.