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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University1.55+5.72vs Predicted
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2Boston University1.14+5.52vs Predicted
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3Harvard University1.90+2.55vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.04+0.71vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island0.99+2.89vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College1.60+0.52vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.75+2.31vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College0.52+2.80vs Predicted
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9Tufts University0.66+0.11vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.85-0.96vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College1.51-4.35vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University0.49-1.90vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont-0.13-1.52vs Predicted
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14Tufts University0.93-5.82vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University1.22-8.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.72Brown University1.559.0%1st Place
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7.52Boston University1.146.5%1st Place
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5.55Harvard University1.9011.2%1st Place
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4.71Brown University2.0416.0%1st Place
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7.89University of Rhode Island0.995.1%1st Place
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6.52Dartmouth College1.609.2%1st Place
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9.31Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.753.9%1st Place
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10.8Connecticut College0.522.5%1st Place
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9.11Tufts University0.664.0%1st Place
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9.04U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.854.2%1st Place
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6.65Bowdoin College1.519.3%1st Place
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10.1Roger Williams University0.493.1%1st Place
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11.48University of Vermont-0.131.8%1st Place
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8.18Tufts University0.936.0%1st Place
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6.42Northeastern University1.228.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Mueller | 9.0% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 1.1% |
| Tiare Sierra | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 2.1% |
| Sarah Burn | 11.2% | 11.2% | 11.9% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Brielle Willoughby | 16.0% | 15.5% | 12.7% | 11.3% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 5.1% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 2.9% |
| Taylor Eastman | 9.2% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Brooke Barry | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 8.6% |
| Izzy Wu-Karr | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 13.9% | 21.6% |
| Meredith Broadus | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 7.5% |
| Julia Conneely | 4.2% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 6.5% |
| Kyra Phelan | 9.3% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.1% |
| Katherine McGagh | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 11.6% | 12.2% | 13.9% |
| Elizabeth Amelotte | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 11.3% | 15.4% | 29.3% |
| Haley Andreasen | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 4.0% |
| Eva Ermlich | 8.2% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.