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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.92+5.99vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.29+3.68vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.98+3.93vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.81+3.53vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College3.83-0.59vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island2.23+3.51vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82+0.17vs Predicted
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8Boston University2.74-0.32vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.50-0.37vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University1.83+0.71vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College2.41-2.13vs Predicted
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12Brown University2.82-4.55vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College2.75-5.43vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont3.24-8.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.99Roger Williams University2.920.1%1st Place
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5.68Yale University3.290.1%1st Place
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6.93Tufts University2.980.1%1st Place
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7.53Harvard University2.810.1%1st Place
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4.41Dartmouth College3.830.2%1st Place
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9.51University of Rhode Island2.230.0%1st Place
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7.17Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.1%1st Place
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7.68Boston University2.740.1%1st Place
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8.63U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.500.1%1st Place
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10.71Northeastern University1.830.0%1st Place
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8.87Bowdoin College2.410.0%1st Place
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7.45Brown University2.820.1%1st Place
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7.57Connecticut College2.750.1%1st Place
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5.87University of Vermont3.240.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Haley Powell | 6.4% | 7.5% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 3.5% |
| Emily Billing | 12.1% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 0.9% |
| Mariel Marchand | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 5.9% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 2.3% |
| Morgan Russom | 5.1% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 4.5% |
| Deirdre Lambert | 15.6% | 16.7% | 13.6% | 14.1% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Mackenzie Needham | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 13.1% | 16.7% |
| Chloe Lepert | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 3.6% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.7% |
| Lauren Cefali | 5.1% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 10.9% | 11.1% | 7.9% |
| Tasha Greenwood | 2.5% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 14.4% | 31.7% |
| Sarah Fiske | 4.7% | 3.1% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 11.3% | 10.3% | 11.9% |
| Sky Adams | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 4.9% |
| Liz Dubovik | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 4.5% |
| Olivia Crane | 10.6% | 11.2% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 0.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.