Race 5A

toni-deutsch-58-regatta

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

28.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Deirdre Lambert 19.2% 16.7% 13.9% 11.5% 9.6% 6.9% 6.4% 4.5% 4.4% 2.6% 2.3% 1.1% 0.6% 0.3%
Mariel Marchand 8.4% 9.1% 8.2% 8.8% 6.6% 7.2% 8.9% 8.4% 8.4% 8.0% 6.3% 4.7% 4.2% 2.8%
Emily Billing 10.2% 11.6% 10.5% 9.4% 9.4% 8.2% 7.5% 7.9% 6.6% 6.5% 5.7% 2.9% 2.6% 1.0%
Chloe Lepert 4.7% 7.8% 7.0% 7.6% 6.8% 8.7% 7.9% 7.7% 7.4% 6.9% 9.2% 8.3% 5.2% 4.8%
Haley Powell 6.1% 7.0% 7.9% 8.0% 8.0% 8.6% 6.3% 7.9% 7.8% 7.7% 8.2% 8.1% 4.4% 4.0%
Olivia Crane 9.5% 8.9% 9.4% 9.9% 10.6% 7.4% 8.0% 7.9% 6.7% 6.2% 6.0% 4.5% 3.6% 1.4%
Tasha Greenwood 2.8% 2.2% 3.7% 3.4% 3.7% 3.7% 5.0% 4.5% 4.3% 6.8% 6.9% 10.6% 13.7% 28.7%
Lauren Cefali 4.9% 6.2% 4.8% 5.6% 6.2% 6.1% 5.9% 6.4% 6.3% 10.0% 8.3% 9.2% 10.2% 9.9%
Sky Adams 7.5% 4.5% 7.3% 5.6% 7.2% 7.7% 10.3% 8.3% 8.4% 6.8% 7.6% 7.3% 7.5% 4.0%
Mackenzie Needham 3.5% 2.9% 3.4% 4.0% 5.4% 5.1% 5.8% 5.2% 7.6% 7.6% 7.7% 10.9% 14.4% 16.5%
Liz Dubovik 6.4% 5.8% 4.5% 8.2% 6.5% 7.0% 8.3% 7.3% 7.7% 8.6% 7.8% 7.7% 7.6% 6.6%
Morgan Russom 6.3% 5.7% 6.7% 8.3% 6.2% 8.9% 7.6% 7.8% 9.9% 6.9% 6.6% 6.1% 7.2% 5.8%
Elizabeth Glivinski 6.3% 7.2% 6.6% 5.4% 7.3% 7.6% 7.4% 8.9% 7.6% 7.2% 7.9% 8.0% 8.3% 4.3%
Sarah Fiske 4.2% 4.4% 6.1% 4.3% 6.5% 6.9% 4.7% 7.3% 6.9% 8.2% 9.5% 10.6% 10.5% 9.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.