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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University1.14+6.82vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College1.60+4.60vs Predicted
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3Harvard University1.90+2.65vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.85+4.98vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.75+4.42vs Predicted
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6Brown University1.55+0.68vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College1.51-0.46vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University0.49+2.10vs Predicted
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9Tufts University0.66+0.09vs Predicted
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10Brown University2.04-5.43vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island0.99-3.29vs Predicted
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12Tufts University0.93-3.73vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University1.22-6.55vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College0.52-3.26vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont-0.13-3.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.82Boston University1.145.5%1st Place
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6.6Dartmouth College1.609.0%1st Place
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5.65Harvard University1.9011.2%1st Place
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8.98U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.855.1%1st Place
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9.42Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.754.1%1st Place
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6.68Brown University1.557.7%1st Place
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6.54Bowdoin College1.519.1%1st Place
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10.1Roger Williams University0.492.5%1st Place
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9.09Tufts University0.664.8%1st Place
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4.57Brown University2.0416.1%1st Place
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7.71University of Rhode Island0.996.6%1st Place
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8.27Tufts University0.934.9%1st Place
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6.45Northeastern University1.229.0%1st Place
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10.74Connecticut College0.522.5%1st Place
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11.38University of Vermont-0.132.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tiare Sierra | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 3.2% |
| Taylor Eastman | 9.0% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.0% |
| Sarah Burn | 11.2% | 11.8% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Julia Conneely | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 7.5% |
| Brooke Barry | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 11.7% | 9.1% |
| Emily Mueller | 7.7% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 0.8% |
| Kyra Phelan | 9.1% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| Katherine McGagh | 2.5% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 12.3% | 13.9% | 13.2% |
| Meredith Broadus | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 6.3% |
| Brielle Willoughby | 16.1% | 14.4% | 14.8% | 11.1% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 2.7% |
| Haley Andreasen | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 4.2% |
| Eva Ermlich | 9.0% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.1% |
| Izzy Wu-Karr | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 10.8% | 15.4% | 19.8% |
| Elizabeth Amelotte | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 12.6% | 30.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.