Race 1B

regis

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Katherine McNamara 11.1% 11.0% 9.7% 9.2% 10.5% 8.2% 8.3% 7.8% 6.7% 5.9% 4.7% 3.6% 2.3% 0.9% 0.2%
bella casaretto 12.3% 10.9% 11.0% 11.3% 10.2% 8.8% 8.2% 8.6% 5.9% 5.1% 3.9% 2.0% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1%
Lauren Russler 10.5% 10.3% 11.8% 9.6% 10.4% 9.0% 8.3% 7.8% 7.1% 5.2% 4.7% 3.0% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
Cordelia Burn 16.0% 15.2% 12.8% 11.7% 10.4% 8.0% 7.2% 5.8% 4.7% 4.0% 2.2% 1.1% 0.7% 0.1% 0.1%
Laura Slovensky 5.6% 6.0% 6.1% 6.0% 6.8% 7.9% 7.2% 7.6% 7.7% 8.6% 9.0% 8.5% 7.0% 4.5% 1.4%
Charlotte Costikyan 8.5% 8.5% 8.6% 9.4% 8.6% 8.7% 8.8% 8.3% 7.1% 6.9% 6.4% 5.1% 3.2% 1.5% 0.4%
Audrey Commerford 3.4% 2.9% 3.8% 4.7% 3.8% 4.9% 5.2% 5.9% 7.2% 7.3% 8.6% 10.8% 12.8% 12.8% 5.7%
Leah Rickard 4.8% 6.4% 5.6% 6.5% 5.4% 7.8% 7.0% 7.9% 7.6% 8.5% 8.2% 8.5% 8.4% 6.0% 1.3%
Lucia Loosbrock 6.2% 6.2% 6.0% 6.2% 7.6% 7.3% 8.1% 7.4% 8.3% 8.5% 8.0% 7.6% 6.8% 4.8% 1.2%
Michaela ODonnell 5.1% 4.3% 3.9% 5.5% 6.1% 5.6% 6.2% 7.4% 8.2% 8.5% 9.2% 10.2% 9.4% 8.0% 2.3%
Julia Shannon-Grillo 3.5% 4.2% 5.3% 4.9% 5.1% 5.9% 6.0% 6.6% 7.9% 7.4% 9.7% 10.6% 10.9% 8.9% 3.1%
Mercedes Escandon 7.0% 7.5% 7.7% 7.5% 7.6% 8.6% 8.9% 7.8% 7.3% 8.4% 7.8% 5.7% 4.5% 2.9% 0.7%
Maisie MacGillivray 3.7% 3.5% 4.5% 4.6% 5.3% 4.8% 5.8% 5.9% 7.6% 8.2% 8.3% 10.3% 12.1% 11.7% 3.8%
Danielle Bogacheva 0.4% 0.8% 0.5% 0.9% 0.5% 1.2% 0.9% 1.7% 1.8% 2.0% 3.2% 4.0% 5.1% 12.0% 65.0%
Lilly Saffer 1.8% 2.4% 2.6% 2.1% 1.7% 3.3% 3.6% 3.5% 4.9% 5.5% 6.2% 9.0% 13.7% 25.1% 14.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.