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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82+6.33vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.92+4.89vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.82+4.46vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.50+4.58vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College3.83-0.59vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.98+1.05vs Predicted
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7Yale University3.29-1.40vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont3.24-1.94vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University1.83+1.64vs Predicted
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10Boston University2.74-2.19vs Predicted
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11Harvard University2.81-3.49vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College2.41-3.18vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College2.75-5.39vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island2.23-4.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.33Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.1%1st Place
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6.89Roger Williams University2.920.1%1st Place
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7.46Brown University2.820.1%1st Place
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8.58U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.500.0%1st Place
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4.41Dartmouth College3.830.2%1st Place
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7.05Tufts University2.980.1%1st Place
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5.6Yale University3.290.1%1st Place
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6.06University of Vermont3.240.1%1st Place
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10.64Northeastern University1.830.0%1st Place
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7.81Boston University2.740.1%1st Place
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7.51Harvard University2.810.1%1st Place
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8.82Bowdoin College2.410.0%1st Place
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7.61Connecticut College2.750.1%1st Place
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9.23University of Rhode Island2.230.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chloe Lepert | 5.7% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 4.8% |
| Haley Powell | 7.1% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 2.4% |
| Sky Adams | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 4.6% |
| Lauren Cefali | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 10.3% |
| Deirdre Lambert | 16.4% | 15.1% | 15.0% | 11.9% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Mariel Marchand | 7.4% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 3.0% |
| Emily Billing | 12.4% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.9% |
| Olivia Crane | 10.8% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 1.2% |
| Tasha Greenwood | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 10.5% | 15.3% | 29.9% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 4.9% |
| Morgan Russom | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% |
| Sarah Fiske | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 12.6% |
| Liz Dubovik | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 5.4% |
| Mackenzie Needham | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 10.4% | 11.5% | 13.0% | 13.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.