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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.10+3.63vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University1.18+5.73vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College1.84+2.59vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College1.71+1.37vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont0.48+4.60vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University0.75+2.81vs Predicted
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7Brown University1.69-1.24vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College-0.13+3.32vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island0.79-1.12vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.20-2.76vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.00-3.20vs Predicted
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12Tufts University0.71-3.21vs Predicted
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13Tufts University0.54-3.74vs Predicted
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14Boston University-1.31-0.32vs Predicted
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15Brown University1.33-8.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.63Harvard University2.1015.1%1st Place
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7.73Northeastern University1.186.2%1st Place
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5.59Bowdoin College1.8411.2%1st Place
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5.37Dartmouth College1.7113.4%1st Place
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9.6University of Vermont0.483.5%1st Place
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8.81Roger Williams University0.753.4%1st Place
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5.76Brown University1.6911.4%1st Place
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11.32Connecticut College-0.132.0%1st Place
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7.88University of Rhode Island0.795.7%1st Place
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7.24Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.206.7%1st Place
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7.8U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.005.8%1st Place
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8.79Tufts University0.714.2%1st Place
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9.26Tufts University0.543.4%1st Place
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13.68Boston University-1.310.5%1st Place
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6.54Brown University1.337.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cordelia Burn | 15.1% | 14.8% | 13.2% | 11.6% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 1.1% |
| Lauren Russler | 11.2% | 10.1% | 11.6% | 11.2% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| bella casaretto | 13.4% | 11.6% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Audrey Commerford | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 12.0% | 12.8% | 12.0% | 5.9% |
| Michaela ODonnell | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 2.6% |
| Katherine McNamara | 11.4% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Lilly Saffer | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 12.6% | 26.7% | 14.1% |
| Leah Rickard | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 1.4% |
| Mercedes Escandon | 6.7% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 0.5% |
| Laura Slovensky | 5.8% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 1.4% |
| Julia Shannon-Grillo | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 8.2% | 2.6% |
| Maisie MacGillivray | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 12.8% | 10.7% | 3.5% |
| Danielle Bogacheva | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 5.7% | 11.9% | 66.2% |
| Charlotte Costikyan | 7.8% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.