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📊 Prediction Accuracy
28.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.83+3.27vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.98+4.67vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.92+4.13vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82+3.48vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College2.75+2.78vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.29-0.01vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont3.24-1.22vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.81-0.59vs Predicted
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9Boston University2.74-1.22vs Predicted
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10Brown University2.82-2.48vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College2.41-2.13vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island2.23-2.64vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.50-4.54vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University1.83-3.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.27Dartmouth College3.830.2%1st Place
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6.67Tufts University2.980.1%1st Place
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7.13Roger Williams University2.920.1%1st Place
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7.48Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.1%1st Place
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7.78Connecticut College2.750.1%1st Place
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5.99Yale University3.290.1%1st Place
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5.78University of Vermont3.240.1%1st Place
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7.41Harvard University2.810.1%1st Place
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7.78Boston University2.740.1%1st Place
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7.52Brown University2.820.1%1st Place
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8.87Bowdoin College2.410.0%1st Place
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9.36University of Rhode Island2.230.0%1st Place
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8.46U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.500.0%1st Place
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10.5Northeastern University1.830.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deirdre Lambert | 19.6% | 16.1% | 13.5% | 11.5% | 10.3% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Mariel Marchand | 7.7% | 10.7% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 3.1% |
| Haley Powell | 7.3% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 3.6% |
| Chloe Lepert | 5.3% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 4.9% |
| Liz Dubovik | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 6.0% |
| Emily Billing | 9.7% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 12.0% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 0.8% |
| Olivia Crane | 11.3% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.0% |
| Morgan Russom | 6.5% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 9.4% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 6.5% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 5.0% |
| Sky Adams | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 3.9% |
| Sarah Fiske | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 11.3% | 12.0% |
| Mackenzie Needham | 3.8% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 11.6% | 16.5% |
| Lauren Cefali | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 8.8% |
| Tasha Greenwood | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 17.0% | 28.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.