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📊 Prediction Accuracy
21.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont3.24+5.00vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.92+4.85vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University1.83+7.50vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.98+2.97vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.29+1.01vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.50+2.65vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College3.83-2.86vs Predicted
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8Boston University2.74-0.36vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College2.75-1.22vs Predicted
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10Harvard University2.81-2.42vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82-3.46vs Predicted
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12Brown University2.82-4.57vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island2.23-3.73vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College2.41-5.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.0University of Vermont3.240.1%1st Place
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6.85Roger Williams University2.920.1%1st Place
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10.5Northeastern University1.830.0%1st Place
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6.97Tufts University2.980.1%1st Place
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6.01Yale University3.290.1%1st Place
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8.65U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.500.0%1st Place
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4.14Dartmouth College3.830.2%1st Place
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7.64Boston University2.740.1%1st Place
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7.78Connecticut College2.750.1%1st Place
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7.58Harvard University2.810.1%1st Place
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7.54Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.1%1st Place
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7.43Brown University2.820.1%1st Place
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9.27University of Rhode Island2.230.0%1st Place
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8.65Bowdoin College2.410.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olivia Crane | 9.4% | 11.0% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 1.6% |
| Haley Powell | 7.7% | 9.7% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.5% |
| Tasha Greenwood | 3.2% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 14.7% | 31.5% |
| Mariel Marchand | 5.8% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 2.5% |
| Emily Billing | 8.8% | 10.1% | 11.4% | 10.8% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 1.3% |
| Lauren Cefali | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 11.0% | 10.4% |
| Deirdre Lambert | 19.7% | 16.0% | 14.1% | 12.1% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 5.9% |
| Liz Dubovik | 6.9% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 5.1% |
| Morgan Russom | 6.6% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 4.2% |
| Chloe Lepert | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 4.8% |
| Sky Adams | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.4% |
| Mackenzie Needham | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 13.6% | 14.9% |
| Sarah Fiske | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 10.9% | 11.2% | 10.6% | 8.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.