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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island0.79+6.87vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University0.75+6.90vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.20+4.08vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University1.18+3.69vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College1.71+0.41vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.10-1.37vs Predicted
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7Brown University1.69-1.27vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College1.84-2.36vs Predicted
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9Brown University1.33-2.57vs Predicted
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10Tufts University0.71-1.03vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.00-3.27vs Predicted
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12Tufts University0.54-2.77vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College-0.13-1.57vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont0.48-4.39vs Predicted
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15Boston University-1.31-1.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.87University of Rhode Island0.796.7%1st Place
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8.9Roger Williams University0.753.9%1st Place
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7.08Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.206.9%1st Place
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7.69Northeastern University1.186.2%1st Place
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5.41Dartmouth College1.7111.3%1st Place
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4.63Harvard University2.1014.9%1st Place
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5.73Brown University1.6910.3%1st Place
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5.64Bowdoin College1.8410.9%1st Place
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6.43Brown University1.338.6%1st Place
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8.97Tufts University0.714.7%1st Place
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7.73U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.006.1%1st Place
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9.23Tufts University0.544.1%1st Place
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11.43Connecticut College-0.131.2%1st Place
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9.61University of Vermont0.483.5%1st Place
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13.65Boston University-1.310.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leah Rickard | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 1.2% |
| Michaela ODonnell | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 2.6% |
| Mercedes Escandon | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 2.6% | 0.5% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 4.0% | 1.1% |
| bella casaretto | 11.3% | 13.1% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Cordelia Burn | 14.9% | 13.4% | 13.5% | 12.4% | 11.7% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Katherine McNamara | 10.3% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Lauren Russler | 10.9% | 11.5% | 10.7% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Charlotte Costikyan | 8.6% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Julia Shannon-Grillo | 4.7% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 12.1% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 3.1% |
| Laura Slovensky | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 4.3% | 0.9% |
| Maisie MacGillivray | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 11.7% | 10.8% | 3.3% |
| Lilly Saffer | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 9.5% | 13.4% | 24.6% | 15.6% |
| Audrey Commerford | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 13.0% | 13.9% | 5.5% |
| Danielle Bogacheva | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 12.2% | 65.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.