Race 4B

regis

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

26.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Cordelia Burn 16.6% 14.2% 12.4% 12.1% 10.2% 9.2% 6.9% 6.5% 5.1% 3.2% 2.2% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
bella casaretto 12.0% 13.0% 10.0% 11.0% 9.8% 9.9% 8.7% 5.8% 6.2% 5.4% 3.6% 2.5% 1.4% 0.7% 0.1%
Katherine McNamara 9.8% 11.8% 10.0% 11.8% 8.9% 8.8% 8.1% 8.2% 6.5% 5.5% 4.8% 3.2% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
Mercedes Escandon 7.2% 6.5% 7.4% 7.8% 7.2% 7.8% 9.2% 8.9% 7.8% 8.0% 8.0% 6.2% 4.5% 2.7% 0.8%
Charlotte Costikyan 7.0% 10.1% 9.3% 9.3% 9.3% 8.4% 7.5% 8.3% 6.8% 8.0% 5.8% 4.9% 3.4% 1.8% 0.1%
Leah Rickard 4.2% 5.5% 6.8% 4.9% 5.9% 7.4% 7.6% 8.3% 8.3% 8.5% 9.6% 8.5% 7.4% 5.6% 1.6%
Audrey Commerford 3.9% 3.4% 3.3% 4.2% 5.1% 4.9% 5.3% 4.9% 6.9% 8.2% 7.8% 11.0% 12.4% 13.2% 5.4%
Lauren Russler 11.7% 10.4% 11.5% 10.7% 9.3% 9.2% 9.6% 7.0% 5.9% 5.0% 4.2% 3.0% 1.8% 0.7% 0.0%
Julia Shannon-Grillo 3.9% 4.3% 5.2% 4.0% 5.2% 5.8% 6.6% 7.1% 8.2% 7.8% 9.8% 10.9% 10.5% 7.8% 2.6%
Lucia Loosbrock 6.2% 5.9% 5.9% 6.0% 7.5% 7.1% 8.2% 7.6% 8.1% 8.6% 8.2% 8.1% 7.0% 4.5% 0.9%
Michaela ODonnell 5.1% 3.6% 5.2% 4.7% 5.8% 5.6% 6.6% 7.5% 9.0% 7.8% 9.6% 9.0% 9.7% 8.0% 2.9%
Maisie MacGillivray 4.0% 2.9% 4.0% 5.0% 5.0% 5.1% 5.0% 6.2% 7.0% 7.6% 8.8% 10.8% 12.1% 11.5% 5.1%
Lilly Saffer 1.7% 1.7% 1.9% 1.9% 2.5% 2.5% 3.0% 4.3% 5.1% 5.5% 6.5% 8.4% 13.5% 25.2% 16.1%
Laura Slovensky 6.1% 6.5% 6.3% 6.2% 7.2% 7.1% 6.7% 8.2% 7.2% 9.2% 8.0% 8.6% 7.0% 4.5% 1.1%
Danielle Bogacheva 0.6% 0.4% 0.8% 0.4% 0.8% 1.1% 1.1% 1.0% 1.8% 1.8% 3.2% 4.0% 6.8% 13.2% 63.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.