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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.83+3.27vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82+5.19vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont3.24+3.04vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.29+1.91vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.82+2.54vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.92+1.21vs Predicted
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7Boston University2.74+0.43vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College2.41+0.73vs Predicted
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9Harvard University2.81-1.51vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island2.23-0.44vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.50-2.38vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College2.75-4.29vs Predicted
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13Tufts University2.98-6.20vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University1.83-3.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.27Dartmouth College3.830.2%1st Place
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7.19Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.1%1st Place
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6.04University of Vermont3.240.1%1st Place
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5.91Yale University3.290.1%1st Place
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7.54Brown University2.820.1%1st Place
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7.21Roger Williams University2.920.1%1st Place
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7.43Boston University2.740.1%1st Place
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8.73Bowdoin College2.410.0%1st Place
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7.49Harvard University2.810.1%1st Place
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9.56University of Rhode Island2.230.0%1st Place
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8.62U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.500.0%1st Place
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7.71Connecticut College2.750.1%1st Place
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6.8Tufts University2.980.1%1st Place
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10.51Northeastern University1.830.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deirdre Lambert | 19.5% | 16.1% | 15.0% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Chloe Lepert | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 3.2% |
| Olivia Crane | 10.1% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.1% |
| Emily Billing | 9.1% | 11.4% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 1.2% |
| Sky Adams | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 5.0% | 5.2% |
| Haley Powell | 7.4% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 3.8% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 4.6% |
| Sarah Fiske | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 11.3% | 12.1% |
| Morgan Russom | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 3.7% |
| Mackenzie Needham | 3.4% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 11.3% | 13.3% | 17.0% |
| Lauren Cefali | 4.3% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 10.7% |
| Liz Dubovik | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 6.0% |
| Mariel Marchand | 7.3% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 2.3% |
| Tasha Greenwood | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 10.5% | 15.5% | 28.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.