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📊 Prediction Accuracy

42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Deirdre Lambert 19.5% 16.1% 15.0% 10.6% 9.9% 6.3% 6.6% 5.0% 4.2% 2.4% 2.0% 1.3% 0.8% 0.3%
Chloe Lepert 6.5% 7.4% 8.4% 7.4% 7.2% 6.9% 8.6% 6.7% 8.8% 8.5% 8.3% 5.6% 6.5% 3.2%
Olivia Crane 10.1% 9.9% 10.3% 8.9% 9.7% 8.5% 7.6% 7.3% 7.0% 6.8% 5.9% 4.0% 2.9% 1.1%
Emily Billing 9.1% 11.4% 10.1% 10.7% 9.6% 8.5% 8.2% 6.0% 7.1% 6.3% 5.6% 4.1% 2.1% 1.2%
Sky Adams 5.3% 6.2% 7.3% 8.4% 7.5% 6.8% 8.6% 6.5% 6.5% 8.8% 8.9% 9.0% 5.0% 5.2%
Haley Powell 7.4% 5.6% 8.1% 7.8% 8.2% 8.7% 7.2% 6.7% 7.9% 8.9% 6.4% 6.9% 6.4% 3.8%
Elizabeth Glivinski 7.1% 7.1% 7.1% 5.9% 6.8% 9.1% 6.4% 7.9% 7.7% 7.9% 8.6% 7.0% 6.8% 4.6%
Sarah Fiske 4.7% 4.8% 5.0% 5.6% 5.0% 6.1% 6.0% 7.4% 5.5% 8.3% 9.2% 9.0% 11.3% 12.1%
Morgan Russom 7.0% 5.3% 5.6% 7.9% 6.2% 7.2% 10.0% 8.6% 8.6% 8.3% 7.4% 7.7% 6.5% 3.7%
Mackenzie Needham 3.4% 3.3% 2.8% 4.0% 5.7% 4.6% 5.2% 6.4% 7.5% 6.8% 8.7% 11.3% 13.3% 17.0%
Lauren Cefali 4.3% 5.5% 3.6% 5.9% 5.8% 5.9% 6.9% 7.2% 7.5% 8.4% 9.0% 9.3% 10.0% 10.7%
Liz Dubovik 5.6% 6.3% 5.8% 6.9% 7.8% 8.1% 5.5% 9.5% 9.4% 7.2% 6.3% 7.4% 8.2% 6.0%
Mariel Marchand 7.3% 8.9% 8.6% 7.0% 7.7% 9.0% 9.1% 7.8% 7.7% 5.7% 7.3% 6.9% 4.7% 2.3%
Tasha Greenwood 2.7% 2.2% 2.3% 3.0% 2.9% 4.3% 4.1% 7.0% 4.6% 5.7% 6.4% 10.5% 15.5% 28.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.