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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.10+3.41vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island0.79+5.66vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University1.18+4.32vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.25+5.84vs Predicted
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5Brown University1.69+0.44vs Predicted
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6Brown University1.33+0.03vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College1.71-1.99vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.20-1.13vs Predicted
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9Tufts University0.54-0.07vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College1.84-4.61vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College-1.05+1.88vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University0.75-3.79vs Predicted
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13Tufts University0.71-4.52vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont0.24-3.80vs Predicted
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15Boston University-1.31-1.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.41Harvard University2.1016.2%1st Place
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7.66University of Rhode Island0.795.9%1st Place
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7.32Northeastern University1.185.8%1st Place
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9.84U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.253.4%1st Place
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5.44Brown University1.6911.1%1st Place
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6.03Brown University1.339.7%1st Place
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5.01Dartmouth College1.7113.2%1st Place
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6.87Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.207.0%1st Place
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8.93Tufts University0.544.5%1st Place
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5.39Bowdoin College1.8411.9%1st Place
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12.88Connecticut College-1.050.5%1st Place
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8.21Roger Williams University0.754.2%1st Place
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8.48Tufts University0.713.8%1st Place
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10.2University of Vermont0.242.3%1st Place
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13.33Boston University-1.310.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cordelia Burn | 16.2% | 15.6% | 14.4% | 10.8% | 11.5% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Leah Rickard | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 0.4% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Allison Nystrom | 3.4% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 13.4% | 13.8% | 11.8% | 4.3% |
| Katherine McNamara | 11.1% | 10.9% | 11.9% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Charlotte Costikyan | 9.7% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| bella casaretto | 13.2% | 12.8% | 12.4% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Mercedes Escandon | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Maisie MacGillivray | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 11.8% | 10.1% | 11.8% | 6.8% | 1.8% |
| Lauren Russler | 11.9% | 11.9% | 10.8% | 12.2% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Viola Henry | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 9.7% | 25.8% | 36.9% |
| Michaela ODonnell | 4.2% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 4.3% | 0.9% |
| Julia Shannon-Grillo | 3.8% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 11.3% | 9.3% | 5.8% | 1.7% |
| Caitlin Derby | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 12.4% | 16.7% | 14.4% | 4.8% |
| Danielle Bogacheva | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 8.3% | 23.1% | 48.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.