Race 10A

toni-deutsch-58-regatta

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

28.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Deirdre Lambert 18.0% 18.0% 13.3% 11.7% 9.1% 8.1% 6.3% 5.2% 2.9% 2.9% 2.1% 1.3% 0.9% 0.2%
Emily Billing 11.7% 11.7% 9.8% 10.0% 8.9% 9.5% 8.3% 7.5% 7.3% 6.1% 3.7% 2.5% 1.8% 1.2%
Elizabeth Glivinski 6.3% 5.6% 7.8% 7.4% 5.4% 5.6% 7.0% 8.9% 7.5% 8.1% 8.4% 9.1% 8.0% 4.9%
Olivia Crane 8.0% 10.5% 10.9% 9.4% 9.2% 9.5% 8.6% 6.9% 6.9% 6.4% 5.9% 3.7% 2.6% 1.5%
Haley Powell 6.3% 6.7% 7.4% 9.1% 7.4% 7.8% 8.8% 5.7% 8.4% 7.6% 6.5% 10.0% 4.3% 4.0%
Sky Adams 6.4% 5.4% 6.7% 7.4% 7.8% 8.9% 5.9% 9.2% 6.6% 8.9% 6.8% 7.7% 7.0% 5.3%
Morgan Russom 7.3% 8.1% 6.3% 7.4% 8.0% 8.2% 7.0% 8.2% 7.6% 7.8% 7.8% 6.2% 6.1% 4.0%
Chloe Lepert 6.7% 7.3% 8.3% 6.2% 7.4% 6.9% 7.6% 7.6% 7.7% 8.3% 6.6% 7.1% 6.8% 5.5%
Mariel Marchand 8.3% 5.7% 7.6% 8.2% 7.9% 7.9% 10.4% 7.5% 8.9% 6.6% 7.3% 6.4% 4.4% 2.9%
Lauren Cefali 4.6% 4.4% 4.3% 4.7% 6.6% 6.9% 6.3% 7.4% 7.6% 7.5% 8.4% 10.5% 11.0% 9.8%
Sarah Fiske 4.3% 4.4% 3.8% 5.9% 5.6% 5.3% 5.6% 6.3% 8.8% 8.1% 10.3% 8.9% 10.5% 12.2%
Mackenzie Needham 3.7% 2.5% 4.6% 3.4% 5.9% 4.3% 5.4% 6.4% 7.3% 9.5% 9.8% 9.3% 11.9% 16.0%
Liz Dubovik 5.9% 7.0% 6.7% 6.4% 7.7% 6.6% 8.3% 6.8% 8.7% 6.9% 9.1% 8.5% 6.0% 5.4%
Tasha Greenwood 2.5% 2.7% 2.5% 2.8% 3.1% 4.5% 4.5% 6.4% 3.8% 5.3% 7.3% 8.8% 18.7% 27.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.