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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.29+4.50vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.98+4.47vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.81+4.00vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.92+2.66vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College3.83-1.01vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82+0.91vs Predicted
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7Brown University2.82-0.15vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.50-0.09vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island2.23-0.18vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College2.41-1.83vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont3.24-5.54vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University1.83-2.09vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College2.75-5.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.5Yale University3.290.1%1st Place
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6.47Tufts University2.980.1%1st Place
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7.0Harvard University2.810.1%1st Place
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6.66Roger Williams University2.920.1%1st Place
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3.99Dartmouth College3.830.2%1st Place
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6.91Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.1%1st Place
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6.85Brown University2.820.1%1st Place
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7.91U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.500.1%1st Place
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8.82University of Rhode Island2.230.0%1st Place
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8.17Bowdoin College2.410.1%1st Place
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5.46University of Vermont3.240.1%1st Place
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9.91Northeastern University1.830.0%1st Place
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7.35Connecticut College2.750.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Billing | 10.9% | 11.3% | 11.4% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.2% |
| Mariel Marchand | 7.6% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 2.6% |
| Morgan Russom | 5.3% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 4.6% |
| Haley Powell | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 3.2% |
| Deirdre Lambert | 20.5% | 17.1% | 14.0% | 12.3% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Chloe Lepert | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 4.5% |
| Sky Adams | 8.7% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 6.1% | 4.7% |
| Lauren Cefali | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 11.9% | 10.6% | 9.5% |
| Mackenzie Needham | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 13.5% | 17.8% |
| Sarah Fiske | 5.6% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 10.2% | 12.4% | 12.6% |
| Olivia Crane | 10.2% | 12.2% | 11.6% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 10.6% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 1.4% |
| Tasha Greenwood | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 15.6% | 31.7% |
| Liz Dubovik | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 6.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.