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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.10+3.31vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College1.71+2.91vs Predicted
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3Tufts University0.71+5.59vs Predicted
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4Tufts University0.54+4.92vs Predicted
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5Brown University1.69+0.45vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College1.84-0.70vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.20-0.06vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University0.75+0.39vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University1.18-1.64vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island0.79-2.40vs Predicted
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11Brown University1.33-4.80vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont0.24-1.87vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.25-3.21vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College-1.05-1.21vs Predicted
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15Boston University-1.31-1.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.31Harvard University2.1017.6%1st Place
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4.91Dartmouth College1.7114.1%1st Place
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8.59Tufts University0.714.0%1st Place
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8.92Tufts University0.543.4%1st Place
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5.45Brown University1.6911.4%1st Place
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5.3Bowdoin College1.8412.6%1st Place
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6.94Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.206.5%1st Place
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8.39Roger Williams University0.753.2%1st Place
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7.36Northeastern University1.185.2%1st Place
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7.6University of Rhode Island0.795.8%1st Place
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6.2Brown University1.339.1%1st Place
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10.13University of Vermont0.242.7%1st Place
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9.79U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.252.8%1st Place
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12.79Connecticut College-1.050.9%1st Place
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13.32Boston University-1.310.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cordelia Burn | 17.6% | 15.6% | 13.7% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| bella casaretto | 14.1% | 14.6% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Julia Shannon-Grillo | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 5.3% | 1.5% |
| Maisie MacGillivray | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 11.7% | 11.7% | 6.7% | 2.1% |
| Katherine McNamara | 11.4% | 11.4% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Russler | 12.6% | 11.1% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Mercedes Escandon | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Michaela ODonnell | 3.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 4.7% | 0.9% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 0.7% |
| Leah Rickard | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 2.7% | 0.7% |
| Charlotte Costikyan | 9.1% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Caitlin Derby | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 11.8% | 15.9% | 13.5% | 5.9% |
| Allison Nystrom | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 10.2% | 13.5% | 14.8% | 12.3% | 3.5% |
| Viola Henry | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 6.6% | 11.5% | 26.2% | 35.5% |
| Danielle Bogacheva | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 22.4% | 49.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.