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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.92+5.58vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.98+4.46vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.82+4.00vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82+2.97vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont3.24+0.55vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College2.75+1.09vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College3.83-2.99vs Predicted
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8Yale University3.29-2.52vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.41-0.73vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.50-2.08vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island2.23-2.43vs Predicted
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12Harvard University2.81-4.88vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University1.83-3.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.58Roger Williams University2.920.1%1st Place
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6.46Tufts University2.980.1%1st Place
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7.0Brown University2.820.1%1st Place
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6.97Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.1%1st Place
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5.55University of Vermont3.240.1%1st Place
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7.09Connecticut College2.750.1%1st Place
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4.01Dartmouth College3.830.2%1st Place
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5.48Yale University3.290.1%1st Place
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8.27Bowdoin College2.410.1%1st Place
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7.92U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.500.1%1st Place
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8.57University of Rhode Island2.230.0%1st Place
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7.12Harvard University2.810.1%1st Place
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9.98Northeastern University1.830.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Haley Powell | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 5.2% | 3.3% |
| Mariel Marchand | 8.0% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 2.9% |
| Sky Adams | 5.4% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 9.9% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 4.7% |
| Chloe Lepert | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 4.7% |
| Olivia Crane | 11.6% | 12.3% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 1.7% |
| Liz Dubovik | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 5.3% |
| Deirdre Lambert | 19.5% | 18.4% | 15.3% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Emily Billing | 10.6% | 11.3% | 11.6% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.0% |
| Sarah Fiske | 5.0% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 12.7% | 12.0% |
| Lauren Cefali | 5.8% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 11.3% | 10.6% |
| Mackenzie Needham | 3.9% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 12.9% | 15.0% |
| Morgan Russom | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 10.3% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 5.5% |
| Tasha Greenwood | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 15.0% | 33.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.