← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Brown University2.82+6.29vs Predicted
-
2Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82+5.20vs Predicted
-
3University of Rhode Island2.23+6.33vs Predicted
-
4Dartmouth College3.83+0.34vs Predicted
-
5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.50+3.65vs Predicted
-
6Yale University3.29-0.04vs Predicted
-
7Tufts University2.98-0.32vs Predicted
-
8Roger Williams University2.92-0.87vs Predicted
-
9Connecticut College2.75-1.19vs Predicted
-
10Boston University2.74-2.14vs Predicted
-
11Bowdoin College2.41-2.11vs Predicted
-
12Northeastern University1.83-1.44vs Predicted
-
13Harvard University2.81-5.59vs Predicted
-
14University of Vermont3.24-8.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.29Brown University2.820.1%1st Place
-
7.2Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.1%1st Place
-
9.33University of Rhode Island2.230.0%1st Place
-
4.34Dartmouth College3.830.2%1st Place
-
8.65U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.500.0%1st Place
-
5.96Yale University3.290.1%1st Place
-
6.68Tufts University2.980.1%1st Place
-
7.13Roger Williams University2.920.1%1st Place
-
7.81Connecticut College2.750.1%1st Place
-
7.86Boston University2.740.1%1st Place
-
8.89Bowdoin College2.410.0%1st Place
-
10.56Northeastern University1.830.0%1st Place
-
7.41Harvard University2.810.1%1st Place
-
5.88University of Vermont3.240.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sky Adams | 5.7% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 5.4% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.3% |
| Chloe Lepert | 6.8% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 3.6% |
| Mackenzie Needham | 4.6% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 11.0% | 13.5% | 15.6% |
| Deirdre Lambert | 16.6% | 15.9% | 15.9% | 11.5% | 10.4% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Lauren Cefali | 3.9% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 12.4% | 9.7% |
| Emily Billing | 10.0% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 0.7% |
| Mariel Marchand | 8.4% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 3.5% | 2.8% |
| Haley Powell | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 4.2% |
| Liz Dubovik | 6.7% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 5.7% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 10.4% | 7.9% | 5.9% |
| Sarah Fiske | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 10.9% | 11.7% |
| Tasha Greenwood | 2.4% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 10.9% | 15.4% | 28.5% |
| Morgan Russom | 6.6% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.2% |
| Olivia Crane | 10.4% | 11.4% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 10.7% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.