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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island1.20+4.50vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.20+3.74vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston2.07+0.69vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University1.55+0.98vs Predicted
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5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.15+3.35vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College0.05+0.87vs Predicted
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7Brown University1.76-2.52vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.81-2.22vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont0.87-3.49vs Predicted
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10Harvard University1.85-5.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.5University of Rhode Island1.208.7%1st Place
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5.74Tufts University1.207.3%1st Place
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3.69College of Charleston2.0719.7%1st Place
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4.98Roger Williams University1.5510.5%1st Place
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8.35U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.152.2%1st Place
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6.87Bowdoin College0.055.5%1st Place
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4.48Brown University1.7612.6%1st Place
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5.78Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.817.8%1st Place
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5.51University of Vermont0.878.0%1st Place
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4.09Harvard University1.8517.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Max Sigel | 8.7% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 11.8% | 10.4% | 12.3% | 12.6% | 10.4% | 5.4% |
Courtland Doyle | 7.3% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 13.4% | 12.7% | 12.6% | 6.4% |
Jonnie Ciffolillo | 19.7% | 16.4% | 16.3% | 14.3% | 11.5% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
Connor McHugh | 10.5% | 11.8% | 11.7% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 13.6% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 7.6% | 3.1% |
Langdon Wallace | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 15.7% | 51.6% |
Benjamin Stevens | 5.5% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 10.6% | 14.8% | 18.9% | 17.6% |
James Brock | 12.6% | 14.0% | 12.8% | 13.8% | 12.1% | 11.6% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 4.8% | 1.6% |
Emma Wang | 7.8% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 11.1% | 11.4% | 12.9% | 14.1% | 6.7% |
Christian Cushman | 8.0% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 11.2% | 11.7% | 11.5% | 11.1% | 6.0% |
Harrison Strom | 17.7% | 14.9% | 13.6% | 12.3% | 11.8% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 3.3% | 0.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.