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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.20+6.01vs Predicted
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2Brown University1.69+3.57vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.10+1.42vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island0.79+3.74vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College1.71+0.07vs Predicted
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6Tufts University0.71+2.78vs Predicted
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7Tufts University0.54+2.27vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College1.84-2.57vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University0.75-0.65vs Predicted
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10Brown University1.33-3.73vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.25-0.87vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University1.18-4.62vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont0.48-3.80vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College-0.13-2.98vs Predicted
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15Boston University-2.17-0.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.01Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.206.8%1st Place
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5.57Brown University1.6911.6%1st Place
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4.42Harvard University2.1016.8%1st Place
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7.74University of Rhode Island0.795.5%1st Place
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5.07Dartmouth College1.7114.1%1st Place
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8.78Tufts University0.713.5%1st Place
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9.27Tufts University0.542.9%1st Place
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5.43Bowdoin College1.8411.2%1st Place
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8.35Roger Williams University0.755.3%1st Place
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6.27Brown University1.338.8%1st Place
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10.13U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.252.1%1st Place
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7.38Northeastern University1.186.2%1st Place
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9.2University of Vermont0.483.9%1st Place
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11.02Connecticut College-0.131.4%1st Place
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14.37Boston University-2.170.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mercedes Escandon | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 2.2% | 0.1% |
| Katherine McNamara | 11.6% | 11.8% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Cordelia Burn | 16.8% | 15.8% | 12.8% | 12.2% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Leah Rickard | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 0.9% |
| bella casaretto | 14.1% | 12.3% | 12.0% | 11.0% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Julia Shannon-Grillo | 3.5% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 8.2% | 1.4% |
| Maisie MacGillivray | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 12.4% | 10.7% | 1.6% |
| Lauren Russler | 11.2% | 10.4% | 11.5% | 11.2% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Michaela ODonnell | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 0.5% |
| Charlotte Costikyan | 8.8% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Allison Nystrom | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 11.8% | 14.0% | 17.2% | 3.5% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 0.2% |
| Audrey Commerford | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 11.2% | 12.8% | 10.4% | 2.4% |
| Lilly Saffer | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 14.4% | 27.3% | 6.6% |
| Ada Ucar | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 6.1% | 82.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.