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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.82+6.31vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.92+4.87vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82+4.44vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.81+3.49vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont3.24+1.19vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.29+0.01vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University1.83+3.33vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College2.75-0.37vs Predicted
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9Tufts University2.98-1.98vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island2.23-0.51vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.50-2.38vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College2.41-3.19vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College3.83-8.76vs Predicted
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14Boston University2.74-6.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.31Brown University2.820.1%1st Place
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6.87Roger Williams University2.920.1%1st Place
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7.44Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.1%1st Place
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7.49Harvard University2.810.1%1st Place
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6.19University of Vermont3.240.1%1st Place
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6.01Yale University3.290.1%1st Place
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10.33Northeastern University1.830.0%1st Place
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7.63Connecticut College2.750.1%1st Place
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7.02Tufts University2.980.1%1st Place
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9.49University of Rhode Island2.230.0%1st Place
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8.62U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.500.0%1st Place
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8.81Bowdoin College2.410.0%1st Place
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4.24Dartmouth College3.830.2%1st Place
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7.54Boston University2.740.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sky Adams | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 4.8% |
| Haley Powell | 7.9% | 9.8% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 3.3% |
| Chloe Lepert | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 4.7% |
| Morgan Russom | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 5.3% | 4.8% |
| Olivia Crane | 8.7% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 2.0% | 2.2% |
| Emily Billing | 9.4% | 10.6% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.0% |
| Tasha Greenwood | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 15.0% | 28.1% |
| Liz Dubovik | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 5.2% |
| Mariel Marchand | 8.0% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 3.1% |
| Mackenzie Needham | 3.8% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 14.5% | 15.7% |
| Lauren Cefali | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 10.7% |
| Sarah Fiske | 4.1% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 12.1% | 11.4% |
| Deirdre Lambert | 19.0% | 16.0% | 14.5% | 12.0% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 4.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.