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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin1.14+4.94vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida1.54+3.21vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin0.70+4.37vs Predicted
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4Michigan Technological University0.96+3.02vs Predicted
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5University of Michigan1.12+0.78vs Predicted
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6Purdue University0.92+1.27vs Predicted
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7Northwestern University-0.54+4.28vs Predicted
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8Washington University0.67-0.44vs Predicted
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9Marquette University0.32-0.60vs Predicted
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10Grand Valley State University-0.85+2.75vs Predicted
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11University of Illinois0.44-2.56vs Predicted
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12University of Saint Thomas0.88-5.38vs Predicted
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13University of Minnesota-1.57+1.79vs Predicted
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14Indiana University0.39-5.41vs Predicted
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15Hope College-0.65-2.92vs Predicted
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16Western Michigan University-0.73-3.55vs Predicted
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17University of Notre Dame-0.43-5.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.94University of Wisconsin1.1410.8%1st Place
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5.21University of South Florida1.5413.4%1st Place
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7.37University of Wisconsin0.708.0%1st Place
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7.02Michigan Technological University0.967.6%1st Place
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5.78University of Michigan1.1211.1%1st Place
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7.27Purdue University0.927.0%1st Place
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11.28Northwestern University-0.543.1%1st Place
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7.56Washington University0.676.6%1st Place
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8.4Marquette University0.325.7%1st Place
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12.75Grand Valley State University-0.851.8%1st Place
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8.44University of Illinois0.445.1%1st Place
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6.62University of Saint Thomas0.888.4%1st Place
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14.79University of Minnesota-1.570.7%1st Place
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8.59Indiana University0.395.1%1st Place
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12.08Hope College-0.651.8%1st Place
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12.45Western Michigan University-0.731.7%1st Place
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11.45University of Notre Dame-0.432.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlie Herrick | 10.8% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Eden Nykamp | 13.4% | 13.0% | 12.6% | 11.2% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mary Castellini | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Andrew Michels | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Joe Serpa | 11.1% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 11.5% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Odey Hariri | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Anna Kovacs | 3.1% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 11.6% | 11.1% | 6.5% |
| Wyatt Tait | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Brittany Shabino | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 1.0% |
| Carly Irwin | 1.8% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 11.8% | 14.4% | 17.6% | 13.7% |
| Domenico Sacchetti | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 0.8% |
| Greg Bittle | 8.4% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| John Cayen | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 9.4% | 16.2% | 46.6% |
| Bryce Lesinski | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| Edmund Redman | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 14.5% | 14.6% | 10.2% |
| Jack Charlton | 1.7% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 11.2% | 13.5% | 16.1% | 12.6% |
| Jack O'Connor | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 11.5% | 12.0% | 12.2% | 6.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.