Race 1B

toni-deutsch-58-regatta

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

38.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Chandler Salisbury 12.2% 12.3% 11.3% 12.5% 11.8% 9.0% 8.8% 7.0% 6.8% 4.5% 2.3% 1.2% 0.3%
Johanna Kincaid 9.9% 9.9% 11.0% 10.1% 10.8% 10.2% 8.3% 9.5% 7.3% 6.6% 3.6% 2.2% 0.6%
Kaitlyn Norton 2.9% 3.1% 3.5% 4.9% 6.0% 6.3% 7.3% 7.5% 7.6% 11.7% 16.9% 16.4% 5.9%
Claire Dennis 16.2% 14.9% 16.1% 12.3% 10.1% 7.8% 8.0% 7.3% 3.8% 1.7% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
Caitlin Watson 7.1% 7.5% 6.5% 8.7% 7.5% 8.5% 9.0% 9.6% 10.7% 8.2% 7.4% 7.7% 1.6%
Heidi Hood 2.8% 3.6% 3.7% 4.9% 4.2% 5.0% 7.4% 6.8% 8.9% 11.4% 12.1% 21.9% 7.3%
Megan Yeigh 12.1% 9.7% 10.3% 8.8% 10.8% 9.3% 8.8% 9.2% 8.7% 5.8% 3.9% 2.0% 0.6%
Sara Swanson 6.0% 6.8% 6.4% 6.0% 7.7% 9.1% 8.6% 8.5% 10.5% 10.7% 11.5% 6.9% 1.3%
Kate Levinson 4.7% 5.5% 4.1% 7.0% 6.2% 8.4% 7.2% 9.5% 10.6% 10.8% 10.5% 11.5% 4.0%
Hanna Vincent 16.1% 14.3% 15.7% 10.5% 10.1% 9.0% 8.0% 6.1% 3.6% 3.4% 2.2% 0.9% 0.1%
Alexandra Romagnoli 4.2% 7.0% 5.9% 6.8% 6.2% 8.8% 8.4% 8.7% 10.1% 10.6% 11.0% 9.7% 2.6%
Devon Rohde 5.2% 4.9% 5.1% 6.5% 7.6% 7.7% 8.6% 9.3% 9.3% 11.4% 12.6% 9.0% 2.8%
Katelyn Richerts 0.6% 0.5% 0.4% 1.0% 1.0% 0.9% 1.6% 1.0% 2.1% 3.2% 4.6% 10.3% 72.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.