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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida1.54+4.14vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin1.14+4.02vs Predicted
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3Northwestern University-0.54+8.22vs Predicted
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4University of Michigan1.12+1.68vs Predicted
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5Purdue University0.92+2.14vs Predicted
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6University of Saint Thomas0.88+0.71vs Predicted
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7University of Illinois0.44+1.49vs Predicted
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8University of Wisconsin0.70-0.59vs Predicted
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9Washington University0.67-1.58vs Predicted
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10Indiana University0.39-1.40vs Predicted
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11University of Minnesota-1.57+3.82vs Predicted
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12Marquette University0.32-3.34vs Predicted
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13Michigan Technological University0.96-6.07vs Predicted
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14University of Notre Dame-0.43-2.58vs Predicted
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15Western Michigan University-0.73-2.52vs Predicted
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16Hope College-0.65-3.77vs Predicted
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17Grand Valley State University-0.85-4.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.14University of South Florida1.5413.5%1st Place
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6.02University of Wisconsin1.1411.1%1st Place
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11.22Northwestern University-0.542.1%1st Place
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5.68University of Michigan1.1211.7%1st Place
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7.14Purdue University0.927.8%1st Place
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6.71University of Saint Thomas0.889.2%1st Place
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8.49University of Illinois0.444.7%1st Place
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7.41University of Wisconsin0.706.8%1st Place
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7.42Washington University0.677.1%1st Place
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8.6Indiana University0.395.0%1st Place
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14.82University of Minnesota-1.570.6%1st Place
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8.66Marquette University0.325.2%1st Place
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6.93Michigan Technological University0.967.6%1st Place
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11.42University of Notre Dame-0.432.1%1st Place
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12.48Western Michigan University-0.731.8%1st Place
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12.23Hope College-0.652.0%1st Place
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12.64Grand Valley State University-0.851.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eden Nykamp | 13.5% | 14.5% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Charlie Herrick | 11.1% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Anna Kovacs | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 12.0% | 11.4% | 10.7% | 5.1% |
| Joe Serpa | 11.7% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Odey Hariri | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Greg Bittle | 9.2% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Domenico Sacchetti | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 0.6% |
| Mary Castellini | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Wyatt Tait | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Bryce Lesinski | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
| John Cayen | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 9.2% | 16.2% | 48.4% |
| Brittany Shabino | 5.2% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 1.9% | 1.2% |
| Andrew Michels | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Jack O'Connor | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 12.3% | 11.9% | 6.9% |
| Jack Charlton | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 13.0% | 18.2% | 12.6% |
| Edmund Redman | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 11.1% | 14.3% | 14.9% | 10.7% |
| Carly Irwin | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 10.8% | 15.3% | 17.0% | 13.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.