Race 2B

toni-deutsch-58-regatta

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

30.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Claire Dennis 16.8% 15.5% 13.1% 12.6% 12.0% 7.9% 7.4% 5.9% 4.2% 3.0% 1.0% 0.6% 0.0%
Chandler Salisbury 12.9% 12.1% 12.4% 10.9% 11.0% 10.1% 8.7% 7.6% 5.9% 4.0% 2.8% 1.3% 0.3%
Johanna Kincaid 9.2% 8.9% 13.6% 9.4% 9.1% 10.6% 9.1% 9.3% 8.1% 6.1% 5.0% 1.4% 0.2%
Devon Rohde 5.3% 5.3% 6.4% 5.8% 8.2% 6.9% 9.7% 8.8% 10.1% 11.5% 10.1% 8.9% 3.0%
Alexandra Romagnoli 5.6% 5.4% 5.6% 7.1% 6.9% 6.9% 7.8% 8.7% 10.2% 11.1% 11.1% 10.8% 2.8%
Sara Swanson 6.5% 6.3% 6.9% 6.8% 8.3% 7.7% 8.1% 10.7% 9.8% 9.4% 9.6% 8.3% 1.6%
Megan Yeigh 10.6% 10.9% 9.3% 9.8% 10.2% 10.8% 8.5% 8.3% 9.0% 6.6% 3.1% 2.3% 0.6%
Hanna Vincent 15.2% 14.8% 13.2% 13.1% 9.8% 9.8% 10.0% 5.0% 4.0% 2.6% 1.8% 0.7% 0.0%
Kaitlyn Norton 3.5% 4.7% 3.9% 3.6% 4.4% 5.8% 6.7% 8.0% 8.8% 12.2% 13.9% 18.3% 6.2%
Caitlin Watson 7.2% 6.4% 6.2% 7.2% 8.2% 10.0% 8.4% 8.6% 9.9% 10.3% 8.2% 6.9% 2.5%
Kate Levinson 4.6% 5.3% 6.4% 7.8% 6.5% 8.5% 7.9% 9.9% 9.8% 10.8% 11.7% 7.6% 3.2%
Heidi Hood 2.1% 3.9% 2.7% 4.9% 4.5% 4.2% 6.3% 7.5% 7.9% 9.4% 16.4% 21.9% 8.3%
Katelyn Richerts 0.5% 0.5% 0.3% 1.0% 0.9% 0.8% 1.4% 1.7% 2.3% 3.0% 5.3% 11.0% 71.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.