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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida1.54+4.17vs Predicted
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2University of Michigan1.12+3.71vs Predicted
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3University of Saint Thomas0.88+3.76vs Predicted
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4University of Wisconsin0.70+3.61vs Predicted
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5Michigan Technological University0.96+1.99vs Predicted
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6University of Wisconsin1.14-0.16vs Predicted
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7Northwestern University-0.54+4.33vs Predicted
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8Indiana University0.39+0.44vs Predicted
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9Purdue University0.92-1.78vs Predicted
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10Washington University0.67-2.32vs Predicted
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11Marquette University0.32-2.36vs Predicted
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12University of Illinois0.44-3.74vs Predicted
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13University of Minnesota-1.57+1.59vs Predicted
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14University of Notre Dame-0.43-2.66vs Predicted
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15Grand Valley State University-0.85-2.30vs Predicted
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16Western Michigan University-0.73-3.47vs Predicted
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17Hope College-0.65-4.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.17University of South Florida1.5413.3%1st Place
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5.71University of Michigan1.1211.1%1st Place
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6.76University of Saint Thomas0.888.8%1st Place
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7.61University of Wisconsin0.706.6%1st Place
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6.99Michigan Technological University0.967.4%1st Place
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5.84University of Wisconsin1.1411.5%1st Place
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11.33Northwestern University-0.543.1%1st Place
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8.44Indiana University0.395.9%1st Place
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7.22Purdue University0.927.8%1st Place
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7.68Washington University0.676.3%1st Place
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8.64Marquette University0.325.1%1st Place
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8.26University of Illinois0.445.1%1st Place
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14.59University of Minnesota-1.571.1%1st Place
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11.34University of Notre Dame-0.432.2%1st Place
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12.7Grand Valley State University-0.851.7%1st Place
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12.53Western Michigan University-0.731.7%1st Place
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12.19Hope College-0.651.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eden Nykamp | 13.3% | 13.4% | 12.7% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Joe Serpa | 11.1% | 12.8% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Greg Bittle | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Mary Castellini | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Andrew Michels | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Charlie Herrick | 11.5% | 11.0% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Anna Kovacs | 3.1% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 9.6% | 11.5% | 12.5% | 10.9% | 5.9% |
| Bryce Lesinski | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 1.0% |
| Odey Hariri | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Wyatt Tait | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Brittany Shabino | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 2.0% | 0.9% |
| Domenico Sacchetti | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 0.4% |
| John Cayen | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 5.9% | 9.6% | 16.9% | 44.9% |
| Jack O'Connor | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 11.9% | 6.7% |
| Carly Irwin | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 10.4% | 13.0% | 18.4% | 15.2% |
| Jack Charlton | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 13.7% | 16.1% | 12.8% |
| Edmund Redman | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 11.8% | 13.2% | 13.6% | 11.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.