Race 4B

toni-deutsch-58-regatta

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Chandler Salisbury 12.6% 12.9% 11.7% 10.8% 11.5% 10.6% 8.8% 5.8% 7.1% 4.4% 2.5% 1.1% 0.2%
Claire Dennis 15.5% 16.0% 15.0% 12.1% 10.4% 10.1% 6.3% 6.1% 4.0% 2.3% 1.4% 0.7% 0.1%
Caitlin Watson 4.7% 5.7% 8.3% 6.9% 8.9% 10.2% 7.1% 11.6% 10.4% 9.1% 8.4% 7.3% 1.4%
Megan Yeigh 10.7% 8.8% 10.5% 11.0% 9.6% 9.2% 9.6% 8.2% 9.6% 5.8% 4.2% 2.4% 0.4%
Johanna Kincaid 11.1% 10.7% 10.8% 11.2% 8.8% 9.3% 9.5% 9.7% 5.7% 6.2% 4.5% 2.2% 0.3%
Devon Rohde 5.6% 5.9% 5.9% 7.4% 6.4% 7.3% 9.0% 9.9% 10.2% 10.8% 9.6% 9.9% 2.1%
Hanna Vincent 16.8% 15.0% 12.0% 11.6% 10.7% 9.7% 7.9% 7.0% 4.0% 2.4% 2.1% 0.7% 0.1%
Alexandra Romagnoli 4.7% 6.3% 5.0% 6.4% 5.5% 7.9% 9.4% 8.2% 10.5% 11.5% 12.5% 9.5% 2.6%
Heidi Hood 3.0% 4.0% 3.3% 3.9% 5.4% 4.5% 5.9% 6.8% 8.3% 9.9% 15.3% 21.9% 7.8%
Kate Levinson 5.5% 5.7% 5.6% 4.6% 7.8% 7.0% 9.8% 9.2% 8.6% 10.6% 10.9% 10.7% 4.0%
Kaitlyn Norton 3.6% 3.3% 5.3% 4.8% 6.4% 5.2% 7.9% 7.2% 9.9% 12.4% 13.2% 13.7% 7.1%
Sara Swanson 5.5% 5.3% 6.0% 8.6% 7.4% 8.1% 7.5% 8.6% 10.0% 12.2% 10.2% 8.9% 1.7%
Katelyn Richerts 0.7% 0.4% 0.6% 0.7% 1.2% 0.9% 1.3% 1.7% 1.7% 2.4% 5.2% 11.0% 72.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.