Race 5B

toni-deutsch-58-regatta

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Johanna Kincaid 10.5% 9.6% 10.6% 11.3% 10.5% 9.2% 9.4% 8.2% 8.3% 5.7% 4.3% 2.2% 0.2%
Claire Dennis 16.6% 13.4% 15.3% 14.3% 11.2% 8.2% 6.2% 6.3% 4.4% 2.1% 1.0% 0.8% 0.2%
Hanna Vincent 13.9% 16.1% 13.5% 11.0% 11.8% 9.9% 7.5% 6.3% 4.8% 3.5% 1.3% 0.2% 0.2%
Kate Levinson 4.3% 5.3% 5.9% 5.3% 7.5% 8.0% 8.4% 8.2% 9.5% 11.3% 12.2% 11.3% 2.8%
Chandler Salisbury 12.9% 13.5% 11.7% 11.0% 10.1% 9.3% 9.3% 8.8% 5.0% 4.9% 2.0% 1.4% 0.1%
Megan Yeigh 10.9% 9.9% 10.9% 10.5% 10.0% 10.2% 8.4% 9.1% 6.5% 6.3% 4.6% 2.3% 0.4%
Caitlin Watson 7.7% 6.0% 7.7% 7.1% 7.9% 6.4% 9.5% 10.5% 9.9% 10.1% 10.0% 6.0% 1.2%
Kaitlyn Norton 3.2% 5.5% 3.2% 4.0% 4.5% 6.4% 7.2% 8.3% 10.4% 9.8% 14.6% 18.2% 4.7%
Devon Rohde 5.9% 5.3% 4.5% 6.8% 7.5% 8.6% 7.4% 10.5% 9.5% 10.2% 11.2% 9.4% 3.2%
Heidi Hood 3.1% 3.8% 4.0% 3.7% 3.4% 5.8% 8.4% 6.8% 8.2% 10.7% 13.7% 18.9% 9.5%
Sara Swanson 5.7% 6.5% 7.9% 7.6% 7.5% 8.7% 9.5% 9.9% 9.8% 10.9% 7.4% 6.9% 1.7%
Alexandra Romagnoli 4.6% 4.7% 4.5% 6.4% 7.1% 8.2% 7.4% 6.1% 10.8% 12.1% 13.4% 11.4% 3.3%
Katelyn Richerts 0.7% 0.4% 0.3% 1.0% 1.0% 1.1% 1.4% 1.0% 2.9% 2.4% 4.3% 11.0% 72.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.