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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida1.54+4.00vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin1.14+3.67vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin0.70+4.20vs Predicted
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4Washington University0.67+3.16vs Predicted
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5University of Saint Thomas0.88+1.54vs Predicted
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6University of Michigan0.05+3.82vs Predicted
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7University of Illinois0.44+1.34vs Predicted
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8Purdue University0.92-1.27vs Predicted
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9Northwestern University-0.54+2.18vs Predicted
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10Indiana University0.39-1.79vs Predicted
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11Marquette University0.32-2.87vs Predicted
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12Michigan Technological University0.96-5.40vs Predicted
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13University of Minnesota-1.57+1.63vs Predicted
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14University of Notre Dame-0.43-2.95vs Predicted
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15Hope College-0.65-2.95vs Predicted
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16Grand Valley State University-0.85-3.40vs Predicted
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17Western Michigan University-0.73-4.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.0University of South Florida1.5414.1%1st Place
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5.67University of Wisconsin1.1410.8%1st Place
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7.2University of Wisconsin0.708.1%1st Place
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7.16Washington University0.677.4%1st Place
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6.54University of Saint Thomas0.888.9%1st Place
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9.82University of Michigan0.054.3%1st Place
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8.34University of Illinois0.445.3%1st Place
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6.73Purdue University0.928.1%1st Place
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11.18Northwestern University-0.542.4%1st Place
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8.21Indiana University0.396.0%1st Place
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8.13Marquette University0.325.8%1st Place
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6.6Michigan Technological University0.9610.0%1st Place
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14.63University of Minnesota-1.570.8%1st Place
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11.05University of Notre Dame-0.432.5%1st Place
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12.05Hope College-0.652.1%1st Place
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12.6Grand Valley State University-0.850.9%1st Place
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12.11Western Michigan University-0.732.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eden Nykamp | 14.1% | 12.0% | 13.4% | 11.9% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Charlie Herrick | 10.8% | 11.5% | 11.8% | 11.6% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Mary Castellini | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Wyatt Tait | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Greg Bittle | 8.9% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Luciana Solorzano | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 5.5% | 2.2% |
| Domenico Sacchetti | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Odey Hariri | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Anna Kovacs | 2.4% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 7.0% |
| Bryce Lesinski | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 0.5% |
| Brittany Shabino | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Andrew Michels | 10.0% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| John Cayen | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 10.1% | 16.6% | 44.5% |
| Jack O'Connor | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 10.5% | 6.1% |
| Edmund Redman | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 10.5% | 13.6% | 14.2% | 11.1% |
| Carly Irwin | 0.9% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 12.5% | 18.6% | 14.8% |
| Jack Charlton | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 12.8% | 14.2% | 11.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.