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📊 Prediction Accuracy
52.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida1.54+4.01vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin0.70+5.25vs Predicted
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3University of Michigan0.05+6.57vs Predicted
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4University of Wisconsin1.14+1.56vs Predicted
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5Purdue University0.92+1.81vs Predicted
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6Indiana University0.39+2.27vs Predicted
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7University of Saint Thomas0.88-0.50vs Predicted
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8Michigan Technological University0.96-1.16vs Predicted
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9Marquette University0.32-0.72vs Predicted
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10Northwestern University-0.54+1.10vs Predicted
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11Washington University0.67-3.77vs Predicted
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12University of Notre Dame-0.43-0.85vs Predicted
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13University of Minnesota-1.57+1.72vs Predicted
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14Grand Valley State University-0.85-1.53vs Predicted
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15Western Michigan University-0.73-2.98vs Predicted
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16Hope College-0.65-4.04vs Predicted
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17University of Illinois0.44-8.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.01University of South Florida1.5413.5%1st Place
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7.25University of Wisconsin0.707.2%1st Place
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9.57University of Michigan0.053.6%1st Place
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5.56University of Wisconsin1.1411.9%1st Place
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6.81Purdue University0.928.7%1st Place
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8.27Indiana University0.395.6%1st Place
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6.5University of Saint Thomas0.8810.0%1st Place
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6.84Michigan Technological University0.968.9%1st Place
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8.28Marquette University0.326.3%1st Place
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11.1Northwestern University-0.542.3%1st Place
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7.23Washington University0.676.7%1st Place
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11.15University of Notre Dame-0.432.9%1st Place
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14.72University of Minnesota-1.570.9%1st Place
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12.47Grand Valley State University-0.851.2%1st Place
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12.02Western Michigan University-0.731.8%1st Place
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11.96Hope College-0.652.2%1st Place
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8.27University of Illinois0.446.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eden Nykamp | 13.5% | 13.5% | 12.3% | 12.0% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mary Castellini | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Luciana Solorzano | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 2.0% |
| Charlie Herrick | 11.9% | 11.6% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Odey Hariri | 8.7% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Bryce Lesinski | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 0.8% |
| Greg Bittle | 10.0% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Andrew Michels | 8.9% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Brittany Shabino | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 0.9% |
| Anna Kovacs | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 13.0% | 9.3% | 5.8% |
| Wyatt Tait | 6.7% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Jack O'Connor | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 12.0% | 9.8% | 7.0% |
| John Cayen | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 9.0% | 16.5% | 46.7% |
| Carly Irwin | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 10.5% | 13.4% | 16.4% | 14.0% |
| Jack Charlton | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 10.3% | 11.7% | 15.7% | 11.6% |
| Edmund Redman | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 10.4% | 13.6% | 14.6% | 10.0% |
| Domenico Sacchetti | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 0.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.