Race 7B

toni-deutsch-58-regatta

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Hanna Vincent 14.7% 14.6% 13.5% 12.9% 11.8% 8.3% 7.6% 6.4% 5.3% 2.3% 1.8% 0.6% 0.2%
Claire Dennis 16.7% 14.4% 15.2% 11.3% 12.4% 9.0% 6.6% 5.8% 3.3% 3.2% 1.2% 0.7% 0.2%
Johanna Kincaid 8.6% 10.9% 11.3% 9.8% 9.3% 10.9% 9.4% 9.6% 5.7% 7.1% 4.7% 2.4% 0.3%
Megan Yeigh 10.3% 9.3% 9.3% 12.3% 9.9% 9.2% 8.9% 8.9% 7.9% 6.8% 4.4% 2.4% 0.4%
Chandler Salisbury 12.8% 13.8% 12.7% 11.7% 8.8% 9.9% 8.4% 7.9% 5.9% 4.3% 2.9% 0.8% 0.1%
Kate Levinson 5.7% 5.2% 5.4% 5.7% 8.2% 6.6% 7.6% 10.0% 10.6% 10.7% 10.3% 11.4% 2.6%
Devon Rohde 6.9% 5.5% 6.4% 7.1% 6.3% 8.0% 7.4% 9.8% 10.4% 9.4% 12.6% 8.5% 1.7%
Sara Swanson 5.8% 6.3% 6.3% 7.4% 6.7% 8.5% 10.5% 8.8% 11.2% 10.9% 9.3% 7.0% 1.3%
Kaitlyn Norton 3.5% 3.6% 3.7% 5.2% 4.7% 5.3% 7.6% 7.2% 8.6% 11.4% 14.7% 18.0% 6.5%
Heidi Hood 3.4% 4.1% 3.1% 3.0% 4.8% 6.0% 7.2% 7.3% 7.8% 11.6% 13.0% 18.9% 9.8%
Caitlin Watson 6.1% 7.2% 8.1% 6.8% 8.4% 10.0% 9.4% 10.0% 10.0% 9.1% 7.3% 6.1% 1.5%
Alexandra Romagnoli 5.0% 4.6% 4.3% 5.9% 7.7% 7.4% 8.5% 6.8% 10.5% 11.1% 13.3% 12.2% 2.7%
Katelyn Richerts 0.5% 0.5% 0.7% 0.9% 1.0% 0.9% 0.9% 1.5% 2.8% 2.1% 4.5% 11.0% 72.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.