Race 8B

toni-deutsch-58-regatta

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

38.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Claire Dennis 16.2% 15.6% 13.9% 12.3% 10.4% 8.9% 7.8% 6.0% 4.6% 2.2% 1.8% 0.3% 0.0%
Johanna Kincaid 9.9% 10.5% 10.5% 10.4% 10.2% 10.2% 9.3% 8.2% 7.8% 6.4% 4.0% 2.0% 0.6%
Caitlin Watson 5.3% 5.8% 6.8% 8.5% 9.2% 8.1% 9.4% 8.9% 10.6% 10.8% 8.7% 6.7% 1.2%
Heidi Hood 2.7% 2.6% 3.4% 4.7% 5.4% 6.7% 6.5% 6.1% 8.5% 9.5% 14.3% 21.4% 8.2%
Sara Swanson 6.4% 6.6% 6.7% 7.4% 8.3% 8.5% 6.9% 10.2% 10.1% 10.2% 8.8% 7.4% 2.5%
Megan Yeigh 10.1% 11.1% 9.8% 10.9% 11.2% 7.8% 10.5% 9.6% 6.5% 4.8% 4.7% 2.5% 0.5%
Devon Rohde 6.4% 5.7% 7.6% 6.0% 5.8% 7.1% 10.5% 9.1% 8.9% 11.1% 11.0% 9.0% 1.8%
Kaitlyn Norton 3.3% 4.4% 5.1% 3.2% 3.8% 7.2% 7.0% 8.4% 9.8% 11.5% 13.6% 17.7% 5.0%
Chandler Salisbury 12.7% 12.6% 11.3% 10.7% 11.5% 9.3% 8.8% 8.5% 5.4% 3.3% 4.1% 1.4% 0.4%
Hanna Vincent 16.8% 14.8% 13.3% 11.7% 9.8% 9.2% 7.8% 5.4% 4.7% 3.7% 2.4% 0.3% 0.1%
Alexandra Romagnoli 4.9% 5.4% 6.5% 6.1% 7.2% 8.1% 8.2% 9.2% 10.6% 10.2% 10.4% 10.3% 2.9%
Kate Levinson 4.8% 4.3% 4.8% 7.3% 6.0% 8.2% 6.0% 8.6% 10.4% 13.1% 12.2% 10.8% 3.5%
Katelyn Richerts 0.5% 0.6% 0.3% 0.8% 1.2% 0.7% 1.3% 1.8% 2.1% 3.2% 4.0% 10.2% 73.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.