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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida0.90+4.25vs Predicted
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2University of Saint Thomas0.99+3.66vs Predicted
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3University of Michigan0.50+3.41vs Predicted
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4Michigan Technological University0.80+2.23vs Predicted
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5Purdue University1.04+0.11vs Predicted
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6Indiana University0.29+2.92vs Predicted
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7Marquette University-0.63+4.08vs Predicted
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8Northwestern University-0.38+2.61vs Predicted
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9Ohio State University-0.49+1.54vs Predicted
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10University of Minnesota-1.01+2.33vs Predicted
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11Washington University-0.80+0.66vs Predicted
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12University of Notre Dame-1.76+2.32vs Predicted
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13Hope College-0.57-1.74vs Predicted
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14Western Michigan University-0.74-2.56vs Predicted
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15Grand Valley State University-0.36-5.03vs Predicted
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16University of Wisconsin0.36-8.64vs Predicted
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17University of Wisconsin1.20-12.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.25University of South Florida0.9013.2%1st Place
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5.66University of Saint Thomas0.9910.5%1st Place
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6.41University of Michigan0.508.8%1st Place
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6.23Michigan Technological University0.809.5%1st Place
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5.11Purdue University1.0413.5%1st Place
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8.92Indiana University0.294.3%1st Place
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11.08Marquette University-0.632.1%1st Place
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10.61Northwestern University-0.382.8%1st Place
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10.54Ohio State University-0.492.8%1st Place
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12.33University of Minnesota-1.012.1%1st Place
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11.66Washington University-0.801.8%1st Place
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14.32University of Notre Dame-1.761.1%1st Place
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11.26Hope College-0.571.9%1st Place
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11.44Western Michigan University-0.741.8%1st Place
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9.97Grand Valley State University-0.363.1%1st Place
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7.36University of Wisconsin0.366.9%1st Place
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4.84University of Wisconsin1.2014.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andreas Keswater | 13.2% | 13.1% | 11.1% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Rachel Bartel | 10.5% | 11.1% | 10.9% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Brody Schwartz | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Nick Myneni | 9.5% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Justin Skene | 13.5% | 12.7% | 12.6% | 10.9% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Daniel de la Vega III | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 1.5% |
| Eva Paschke | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 11.2% | 10.0% | 5.5% |
| George Warfel | 2.8% | 2.4% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 4.7% |
| Molly Sheridan | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 4.5% |
| Kellen Crum | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 10.5% | 13.4% | 15.4% | 12.8% |
| Jacob Hsia | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 10.9% | 11.4% | 10.0% |
| Kate Norman | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 15.2% | 42.8% |
| Jack Rutherford | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 12.2% | 9.0% | 7.4% |
| Tony Harkins | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 11.9% | 7.8% |
| Reid Kwiatkowski | 3.1% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 2.8% |
| Marissa Tegeder | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Gavin Dempsey | 14.1% | 13.6% | 12.9% | 12.3% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.