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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont2.99+4.63vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.23+3.04vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.50+1.30vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island1.97+4.56vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.47+1.98vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.30+1.53vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38-0.71vs Predicted
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9Brown University3.01-3.42vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College2.29-2.28vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University1.83-2.18vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42-7.66vs Predicted
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13Harvard University2.53-5.86vs Predicted
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14Boston University0.19-1.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.63University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
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5.04Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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4.3Yale University3.500.2%1st Place
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8.56University of Rhode Island1.970.0%1st Place
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6.98Roger Williams University2.470.1%1st Place
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7.53Tufts University2.300.1%1st Place
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7.29U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.1%1st Place
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5.58Brown University3.010.1%1st Place
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7.72Connecticut College2.290.1%1st Place
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8.82Northeastern University1.830.0%1st Place
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4.34Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.2%1st Place
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7.14Harvard University2.530.1%1st Place
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12.09Boston University0.190.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Megan Yeigh | 10.3% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 12.8% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 0.3% |
| Chandler Salisbury | 12.5% | 12.2% | 10.9% | 11.5% | 11.6% | 10.8% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Claire Dennis | 16.1% | 15.4% | 12.9% | 12.7% | 11.8% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Kaitlyn Norton | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 12.2% | 13.7% | 18.1% | 5.6% |
| Sara Swanson | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 11.3% | 10.7% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 1.9% |
| Kate Levinson | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 11.5% | 2.2% |
| Devon Rohde | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 12.5% | 8.0% | 2.2% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 8.9% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 10.9% | 11.3% | 9.1% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| Alexandra Romagnoli | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 11.5% | 11.0% | 11.5% | 10.2% | 4.3% |
| Heidi Hood | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 10.4% | 13.3% | 19.4% | 9.4% |
| Hanna Vincent | 16.3% | 15.4% | 14.6% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Caitlin Watson | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 9.3% | 11.1% | 11.4% | 10.3% | 7.5% | 1.1% |
| Katelyn Richerts | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 5.8% | 10.1% | 72.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.