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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College0.05+5.86vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.20+3.65vs Predicted
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3Harvard University1.85+1.02vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University1.55+0.95vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont0.87+0.66vs Predicted
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6Brown University1.76-1.56vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island1.20-1.43vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston2.07-4.41vs Predicted
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9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.15-0.61vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.81-4.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.86Bowdoin College0.054.5%1st Place
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5.65Tufts University1.207.6%1st Place
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4.02Harvard University1.8516.4%1st Place
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4.95Roger Williams University1.5511.5%1st Place
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5.66University of Vermont0.878.4%1st Place
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4.44Brown University1.7613.7%1st Place
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5.57University of Rhode Island1.207.5%1st Place
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3.59College of Charleston2.0721.9%1st Place
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8.39U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.151.7%1st Place
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5.88Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.816.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Benjamin Stevens | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 13.2% | 19.5% | 17.2% |
Courtland Doyle | 7.6% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 11.5% | 11.9% | 13.5% | 11.6% | 5.7% |
Harrison Strom | 16.4% | 15.2% | 16.6% | 13.2% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 8.3% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 1.1% |
Connor McHugh | 11.5% | 10.5% | 11.7% | 12.3% | 11.9% | 10.9% | 11.3% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 3.6% |
Christian Cushman | 8.4% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 11.0% | 10.0% | 11.4% | 13.7% | 12.5% | 5.9% |
James Brock | 13.7% | 13.4% | 13.6% | 12.4% | 13.2% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 4.5% | 1.7% |
Max Sigel | 7.5% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 11.5% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 12.8% | 11.5% | 11.5% | 5.4% |
Jonnie Ciffolillo | 21.9% | 18.9% | 14.3% | 12.2% | 10.9% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
Langdon Wallace | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 9.3% | 14.6% | 51.5% |
Emma Wang | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 11.8% | 11.8% | 13.1% | 13.4% | 7.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.