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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northwestern University1.49+5.49vs Predicted
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2University of Notre Dame-0.25+8.65vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin2.85+0.47vs Predicted
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4Northwestern University3.36-1.39vs Predicted
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5University of Wisconsin2.72-1.19vs Predicted
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7Northwestern University0.96+0.98vs Predicted
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8University of Notre Dame1.25-1.08vs Predicted
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9University of Minnesota2.25-4.30vs Predicted
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10University of Chicago0.49-0.91vs Predicted
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11University of Michigan0.35-1.48vs Predicted
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12University of Minnesota1.75-6.04vs Predicted
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13Northern Michigan University-0.44-1.75vs Predicted
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14Michigan Technological University-0.26-3.23vs Predicted
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17University of Illinois-0.75-5.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.49Northwestern University1.490.0%1st Place
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10.65University of Notre Dame-0.250.0%1st Place
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3.47University of Wisconsin2.850.2%1st Place
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2.61Northwestern University3.360.3%1st Place
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3.81University of Wisconsin2.720.1%1st Place
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7.98Northwestern University0.960.0%1st Place
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6.92University of Notre Dame1.250.0%1st Place
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4.7University of Minnesota2.250.1%1st Place
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9.09University of Chicago0.490.0%1st Place
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9.52University of Michigan0.350.0%1st Place
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5.96University of Minnesota1.750.1%1st Place
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11.25Northern Michigan University-0.440.0%1st Place
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10.77Michigan Technological University-0.260.0%1st Place
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11.78University of Illinois-0.750.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Wien | 4.0% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 9.3% | 10.9% | 12.9% | 12.2% | 12.6% | 10.4% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| John O'Brien | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 9.4% | 11.5% | 16.7% | 17.7% | 15.7% |
| Andrew Fox | 21.3% | 16.8% | 17.3% | 15.3% | 11.9% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tod Reynolds | 30.9% | 26.8% | 15.7% | 13.1% | 7.7% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Boylan | 14.0% | 17.5% | 19.3% | 15.7% | 11.9% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Campbell | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 11.6% | 14.3% | 12.2% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 3.9% | 0.9% |
| Nathaniel Walden | 3.5% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 9.6% | 11.1% | 11.3% | 13.2% | 11.3% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Matthew Thompson | 11.6% | 11.1% | 12.6% | 14.7% | 12.6% | 12.7% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Anna Scott | 1.9% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 9.7% | 12.6% | 14.9% | 13.6% | 12.9% | 7.2% | 3.2% |
| Alex Bogatko | 1.7% | 1.0% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 11.8% | 12.3% | 13.4% | 13.3% | 10.6% | 6.0% |
| Allison Prange | 6.1% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 13.2% | 11.8% | 13.6% | 11.6% | 8.4% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Caleb Kiser | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 9.5% | 12.2% | 15.5% | 20.2% | 22.1% |
| Timothy McElreath | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 15.9% | 14.2% | 17.0% | 17.4% |
| Matt Kopecki | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 13.1% | 20.3% | 34.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.