Race 10B

toni-deutsch-58-regatta

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

30.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Claire Dennis 16.8% 14.8% 13.4% 12.5% 12.3% 8.7% 7.0% 5.8% 4.3% 2.6% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
Megan Yeigh 9.9% 9.8% 9.8% 10.0% 11.1% 10.4% 9.6% 7.8% 7.8% 6.2% 4.6% 2.7% 0.3%
Johanna Kincaid 9.0% 10.2% 12.3% 9.4% 10.0% 9.5% 11.0% 7.6% 8.6% 4.8% 5.6% 1.8% 0.2%
Devon Rohde 4.0% 5.8% 6.2% 8.1% 8.0% 7.1% 8.3% 8.5% 10.0% 10.1% 11.9% 9.6% 2.4%
Chandler Salisbury 12.7% 15.2% 11.5% 9.4% 10.4% 10.0% 9.0% 8.8% 5.2% 4.0% 2.4% 1.2% 0.2%
Hanna Vincent 16.0% 14.9% 15.3% 10.5% 10.2% 10.0% 6.7% 6.6% 4.3% 3.0% 1.1% 1.3% 0.1%
Alexandra Romagnoli 6.1% 5.3% 6.0% 6.5% 5.8% 7.1% 7.6% 9.1% 10.3% 11.8% 11.5% 10.2% 2.7%
Caitlin Watson 6.6% 6.6% 6.3% 8.3% 7.5% 9.1% 9.9% 8.8% 10.4% 9.9% 8.4% 7.0% 1.2%
Kate Levinson 5.2% 4.9% 4.9% 6.3% 6.1% 7.0% 9.5% 10.4% 9.0% 10.7% 11.6% 10.7% 3.7%
Heidi Hood 3.7% 3.5% 3.8% 3.8% 4.0% 5.5% 7.1% 7.6% 7.8% 10.3% 13.7% 20.1% 9.1%
Kaitlyn Norton 3.3% 3.2% 5.2% 5.6% 5.6% 6.2% 6.2% 8.3% 10.8% 11.7% 12.8% 14.8% 6.3%
Sara Swanson 6.1% 5.3% 4.7% 9.0% 7.9% 8.5% 6.8% 9.3% 9.7% 11.9% 10.5% 8.6% 1.7%
Katelyn Richerts 0.6% 0.5% 0.6% 0.6% 1.1% 0.9% 1.3% 1.4% 1.8% 3.0% 4.6% 11.6% 72.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.