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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin0.36+6.53vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin1.20+2.77vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida0.90+2.29vs Predicted
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4Michigan Technological University0.80+2.11vs Predicted
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5Grand Valley State University-0.36+5.01vs Predicted
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6Marquette University-0.63+5.24vs Predicted
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7Indiana University0.29+2.10vs Predicted
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8University of Michigan0.50-1.58vs Predicted
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9Ohio State University-0.49+1.56vs Predicted
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10Northwestern University-0.38+0.67vs Predicted
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11University of Minnesota-1.01+1.63vs Predicted
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12Hope College-0.57-0.62vs Predicted
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13Washington University-0.36-2.80vs Predicted
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14Western Michigan University-0.74-2.47vs Predicted
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15University of Notre Dame-1.76-0.51vs Predicted
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16Purdue University1.04-10.56vs Predicted
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17University of Saint Thomas0.99-11.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.53University of Wisconsin0.365.5%1st Place
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4.77University of Wisconsin1.2014.7%1st Place
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5.29University of South Florida0.9014.0%1st Place
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6.11Michigan Technological University0.809.7%1st Place
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10.01Grand Valley State University-0.363.1%1st Place
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11.24Marquette University-0.632.2%1st Place
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9.1Indiana University0.293.5%1st Place
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6.42University of Michigan0.508.3%1st Place
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10.56Ohio State University-0.492.4%1st Place
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10.67Northwestern University-0.383.1%1st Place
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12.63University of Minnesota-1.011.4%1st Place
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11.38Hope College-0.572.5%1st Place
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10.2Washington University-0.363.5%1st Place
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11.53Western Michigan University-0.742.1%1st Place
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14.49University of Notre Dame-1.761.0%1st Place
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5.44Purdue University1.0411.7%1st Place
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5.62University of Saint Thomas0.9911.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marissa Tegeder | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Gavin Dempsey | 14.7% | 15.4% | 11.8% | 11.4% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Andreas Keswater | 14.0% | 12.0% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nick Myneni | 9.7% | 8.6% | 11.3% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Reid Kwiatkowski | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 3.1% |
| Eva Paschke | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 7.1% |
| Daniel de la Vega III | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 1.4% |
| Brody Schwartz | 8.3% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Molly Sheridan | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 4.8% |
| George Warfel | 3.1% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 5.3% |
| Kellen Crum | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 10.4% | 14.0% | 16.0% | 14.5% |
| Jack Rutherford | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 11.5% | 7.2% |
| Sarah Biedron | 3.5% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 3.6% |
| Tony Harkins | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 11.8% | 8.2% |
| Kate Norman | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 8.7% | 15.4% | 44.4% |
| Justin Skene | 11.7% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 11.6% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Rachel Bartel | 11.3% | 10.6% | 11.0% | 11.0% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.