Race 11B

toni-deutsch-58-regatta

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Johanna Kincaid 10.6% 9.7% 9.7% 11.9% 9.7% 8.8% 10.3% 9.2% 8.0% 4.6% 5.3% 1.8% 0.4%
Chandler Salisbury 12.1% 13.0% 11.6% 11.1% 10.4% 11.0% 9.1% 7.6% 6.1% 4.3% 2.0% 1.4% 0.3%
Alexandra Romagnoli 3.4% 4.6% 6.9% 5.6% 6.8% 7.5% 8.8% 9.2% 10.3% 11.6% 12.0% 10.3% 3.0%
Claire Dennis 16.9% 15.3% 14.4% 12.5% 10.3% 8.8% 6.6% 6.3% 4.3% 3.0% 0.9% 0.6% 0.1%
Megan Yeigh 10.4% 11.1% 10.9% 10.2% 9.3% 8.9% 10.2% 8.3% 7.9% 5.6% 4.5% 2.3% 0.4%
Hanna Vincent 14.6% 16.8% 14.0% 11.5% 10.5% 10.2% 5.4% 6.7% 4.9% 3.0% 1.4% 1.0% 0.0%
Kaitlyn Norton 4.2% 4.8% 3.4% 5.9% 5.2% 5.1% 5.9% 8.2% 8.1% 12.1% 14.8% 16.9% 5.4%
Devon Rohde 5.6% 6.2% 5.9% 5.5% 7.2% 7.6% 9.3% 9.8% 10.6% 10.5% 10.1% 9.8% 1.9%
Caitlin Watson 6.3% 5.4% 6.8% 7.7% 8.3% 9.1% 9.2% 10.0% 9.2% 9.1% 8.5% 8.2% 2.2%
Sara Swanson 7.0% 5.8% 6.1% 6.7% 9.1% 7.7% 9.8% 9.1% 9.4% 8.4% 10.9% 6.8% 3.2%
Heidi Hood 3.1% 2.9% 3.9% 5.0% 5.7% 5.2% 5.8% 7.6% 8.6% 12.8% 12.6% 18.6% 8.2%
Kate Levinson 5.1% 4.0% 5.6% 5.8% 6.9% 8.6% 8.1% 6.8% 10.6% 11.8% 12.4% 11.1% 3.2%
Katelyn Richerts 0.7% 0.4% 0.8% 0.6% 0.6% 1.5% 1.5% 1.2% 2.0% 3.2% 4.6% 11.2% 71.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.