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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin0.36+6.11vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida0.90+3.03vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin1.20+1.63vs Predicted
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4University of Saint Thomas0.99+1.42vs Predicted
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5University of Michigan-0.26+4.48vs Predicted
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6Purdue University1.04-1.03vs Predicted
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7Northwestern University-0.38+3.60vs Predicted
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8Michigan Technological University0.80-1.92vs Predicted
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9Indiana University0.29-0.39vs Predicted
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10Marquette University-0.63+0.80vs Predicted
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11Ohio State University-0.49-0.62vs Predicted
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12University of Minnesota-1.01+0.18vs Predicted
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13Hope College-0.57-2.04vs Predicted
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14Grand Valley State University-0.36-4.37vs Predicted
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15Western Michigan University-0.74-3.70vs Predicted
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16Washington University-0.80-4.47vs Predicted
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17University of Notre Dame-1.76-2.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.11University of Wisconsin0.367.0%1st Place
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5.03University of South Florida0.9013.2%1st Place
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4.63University of Wisconsin1.2015.3%1st Place
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5.42University of Saint Thomas0.9911.5%1st Place
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9.48University of Michigan-0.263.9%1st Place
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4.97Purdue University1.0413.9%1st Place
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10.6Northwestern University-0.383.5%1st Place
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6.08Michigan Technological University0.809.7%1st Place
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8.61Indiana University0.295.1%1st Place
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10.8Marquette University-0.633.0%1st Place
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10.38Ohio State University-0.492.9%1st Place
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12.18University of Minnesota-1.011.5%1st Place
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10.96Hope College-0.572.1%1st Place
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9.63Grand Valley State University-0.363.5%1st Place
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11.3Western Michigan University-0.741.9%1st Place
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11.53Washington University-0.801.5%1st Place
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14.27University of Notre Dame-1.760.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marissa Tegeder | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Andreas Keswater | 13.2% | 12.8% | 12.8% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Gavin Dempsey | 15.3% | 14.3% | 12.4% | 12.8% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Rachel Bartel | 11.5% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 10.7% | 11.1% | 10.3% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jack Hammett | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 1.8% |
| Justin Skene | 13.9% | 13.6% | 12.6% | 11.7% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| George Warfel | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 4.5% |
| Nick Myneni | 9.7% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Daniel de la Vega III | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 1.2% |
| Eva Paschke | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 5.3% |
| Molly Sheridan | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 3.6% |
| Kellen Crum | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 14.8% | 14.5% |
| Jack Rutherford | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 6.3% |
| Reid Kwiatkowski | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 3.1% |
| Tony Harkins | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 11.3% | 10.5% | 8.2% |
| Jacob Hsia | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 12.4% | 8.2% |
| Kate Norman | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 9.0% | 14.1% | 43.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.