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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin1.20+3.55vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida0.90+3.06vs Predicted
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3University of Saint Thomas0.99+2.54vs Predicted
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4University of Michigan-0.26+5.45vs Predicted
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5University of Wisconsin0.36+2.08vs Predicted
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6University of Minnesota-1.01+6.26vs Predicted
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7Purdue University1.04-2.12vs Predicted
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8Indiana University0.29+0.68vs Predicted
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9Northwestern University-0.38+1.57vs Predicted
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10Michigan Technological University0.80-4.19vs Predicted
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11Ohio State University-0.49-0.41vs Predicted
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12Washington University-0.80-0.59vs Predicted
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13Grand Valley State University-0.36-3.26vs Predicted
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14Marquette University-0.63-3.17vs Predicted
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15University of Notre Dame-1.76-0.74vs Predicted
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16Hope College-0.57-5.09vs Predicted
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17Western Michigan University-0.74-5.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.55University of Wisconsin1.2014.3%1st Place
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5.06University of South Florida0.9012.4%1st Place
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5.54University of Saint Thomas0.9912.3%1st Place
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9.45University of Michigan-0.263.8%1st Place
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7.08University of Wisconsin0.367.8%1st Place
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12.26University of Minnesota-1.011.4%1st Place
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4.88Purdue University1.0414.2%1st Place
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8.68Indiana University0.293.9%1st Place
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10.57Northwestern University-0.382.4%1st Place
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5.81Michigan Technological University0.8011.2%1st Place
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10.59Ohio State University-0.492.1%1st Place
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11.41Washington University-0.802.3%1st Place
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9.74Grand Valley State University-0.364.5%1st Place
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10.83Marquette University-0.632.4%1st Place
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14.26University of Notre Dame-1.760.5%1st Place
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10.91Hope College-0.572.3%1st Place
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11.38Western Michigan University-0.742.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gavin Dempsey | 14.3% | 16.6% | 13.1% | 11.9% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andreas Keswater | 12.4% | 12.3% | 12.7% | 13.6% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Rachel Bartel | 12.3% | 11.1% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 11.1% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Jack Hammett | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 1.9% |
| Marissa Tegeder | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Kellen Crum | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 12.0% | 14.2% | 14.1% |
| Justin Skene | 14.2% | 13.5% | 12.0% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Daniel de la Vega III | 3.9% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| George Warfel | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 4.3% |
| Nick Myneni | 11.2% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Molly Sheridan | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 4.9% |
| Jacob Hsia | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 11.5% | 9.8% |
| Reid Kwiatkowski | 4.5% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 2.4% |
| Eva Paschke | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 5.8% |
| Kate Norman | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 15.4% | 41.7% |
| Jack Rutherford | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 11.8% | 9.5% | 6.3% |
| Tony Harkins | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 11.8% | 7.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.