Race 12B

toni-deutsch-58-regatta

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

23.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Megan Yeigh 9.7% 11.3% 10.5% 8.6% 9.9% 9.7% 10.6% 7.8% 8.8% 6.3% 3.9% 2.6% 0.3%
Claire Dennis 16.3% 14.7% 15.9% 12.8% 10.0% 9.5% 6.7% 6.0% 3.8% 2.5% 1.2% 0.5% 0.1%
Heidi Hood 2.2% 3.4% 2.5% 4.3% 4.6% 6.3% 6.1% 8.1% 8.1% 10.1% 14.3% 21.7% 8.3%
Caitlin Watson 5.4% 7.6% 6.2% 8.0% 7.1% 9.6% 8.2% 9.4% 9.4% 11.6% 8.9% 7.2% 1.4%
Kate Levinson 6.1% 4.8% 6.7% 6.2% 7.1% 7.9% 7.6% 7.4% 9.9% 11.5% 12.7% 9.4% 2.7%
Alexandra Romagnoli 5.6% 4.8% 5.6% 6.7% 7.2% 6.6% 9.4% 8.8% 10.2% 9.1% 11.3% 12.3% 2.4%
Chandler Salisbury 14.4% 12.8% 11.4% 11.6% 9.7% 8.5% 9.2% 7.1% 7.5% 3.9% 2.6% 1.1% 0.2%
Johanna Kincaid 10.1% 10.9% 8.7% 11.0% 11.0% 10.5% 9.6% 7.6% 8.4% 4.8% 3.9% 3.2% 0.3%
Hanna Vincent 14.6% 14.6% 13.3% 12.0% 12.4% 7.4% 7.7% 6.8% 4.4% 4.3% 1.8% 0.4% 0.3%
Kaitlyn Norton 4.1% 3.7% 4.0% 4.2% 4.5% 7.4% 6.5% 10.2% 8.4% 9.8% 13.6% 16.0% 7.6%
Sara Swanson 5.7% 6.1% 8.3% 7.6% 8.4% 7.8% 8.3% 11.0% 10.0% 11.0% 7.2% 6.8% 1.8%
Devon Rohde 5.1% 4.9% 6.5% 5.9% 7.2% 7.8% 8.7% 8.5% 8.7% 13.2% 12.1% 9.1% 2.3%
Katelyn Richerts 0.7% 0.4% 0.4% 1.1% 0.9% 1.0% 1.4% 1.3% 2.4% 1.9% 6.5% 9.7% 72.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.