Race 13B

toni-deutsch-58-regatta

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

38.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Devon Rohde 5.2% 4.8% 5.7% 7.9% 8.1% 7.3% 7.9% 9.1% 11.1% 12.0% 10.3% 9.0% 1.6%
Kate Levinson 4.3% 5.5% 5.7% 6.3% 7.3% 7.0% 7.5% 9.9% 9.8% 11.4% 11.8% 10.9% 2.6%
Caitlin Watson 5.8% 5.1% 7.7% 8.5% 7.7% 8.0% 9.1% 11.9% 9.3% 9.6% 9.0% 7.1% 1.2%
Chandler Salisbury 11.3% 13.0% 14.9% 8.8% 9.8% 10.6% 10.0% 6.5% 7.2% 4.8% 2.0% 0.8% 0.3%
Claire Dennis 18.6% 17.2% 11.2% 13.2% 11.2% 7.8% 7.4% 5.1% 4.3% 2.1% 1.7% 0.2% 0.0%
Johanna Kincaid 9.9% 11.7% 10.5% 9.5% 10.8% 9.7% 8.3% 9.1% 7.2% 5.5% 5.2% 2.1% 0.5%
Sara Swanson 7.3% 5.9% 7.1% 7.5% 5.7% 7.6% 9.3% 9.5% 9.7% 10.8% 9.5% 8.3% 1.8%
Hanna Vincent 15.6% 15.3% 12.6% 10.9% 12.7% 11.4% 7.5% 6.1% 3.5% 2.5% 1.3% 0.5% 0.1%
Megan Yeigh 9.7% 9.5% 9.6% 11.0% 9.4% 11.4% 10.0% 7.6% 7.4% 5.3% 6.2% 2.4% 0.5%
Heidi Hood 3.7% 3.2% 3.3% 4.0% 5.3% 4.7% 5.0% 8.6% 9.6% 10.2% 12.8% 20.6% 9.0%
Alexandra Romagnoli 4.9% 4.5% 7.6% 7.3% 5.2% 7.2% 10.7% 7.6% 10.0% 12.3% 10.7% 9.3% 2.7%
Kaitlyn Norton 3.1% 3.9% 3.7% 4.0% 5.8% 6.6% 6.0% 7.3% 8.8% 10.7% 14.4% 18.5% 7.2%
Katelyn Richerts 0.6% 0.4% 0.4% 1.1% 1.0% 0.7% 1.3% 1.7% 2.1% 2.8% 5.1% 10.3% 72.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.