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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech0.73+1.49vs Predicted
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2Hampton University1.47+0.20vs Predicted
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3University of Maryland-0.69+1.54vs Predicted
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4American University-0.86+0.79vs Predicted
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5William and Mary-0.36-0.91vs Predicted
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6Catholic University of America-1.27-0.51vs Predicted
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7Christopher Newport University-0.52-2.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.49Virginia Tech0.7329.1%1st Place
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2.2Hampton University1.4736.9%1st Place
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4.54University of Maryland-0.697.0%1st Place
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4.79American University-0.866.5%1st Place
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4.09William and Mary-0.368.8%1st Place
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5.49Catholic University of America-1.273.5%1st Place
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4.39Christopher Newport University-0.528.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aidan Young | 29.1% | 27.6% | 21.2% | 12.7% | 6.3% | 2.5% | 0.6% |
| Valerio Palamara | 36.9% | 29.0% | 18.8% | 9.4% | 4.3% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Anthony Thonnard | 7.0% | 8.9% | 12.4% | 16.8% | 19.5% | 20.0% | 15.4% |
| Hannah Arey | 6.5% | 7.3% | 11.8% | 14.1% | 17.3% | 21.7% | 21.3% |
| Eric Johnson | 8.8% | 12.7% | 15.4% | 20.6% | 18.0% | 14.6% | 9.7% |
| Benedict Gorman | 3.5% | 4.3% | 7.0% | 9.8% | 14.7% | 21.9% | 38.8% |
| Noah Hubbard | 8.2% | 10.2% | 13.4% | 16.6% | 19.8% | 17.9% | 13.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.